Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78700265e4aaa5e73a4557cdbdad4ed768a1504f1c91bbce0c7ccffb4af175bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,180,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,163,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,180,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 7c | 431,455$32,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,015.67 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…6457backed Yes | 16c | 61,532$10,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,075.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…e8f3backed Yes | 14c | 56,656$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 10c | 41,315$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…4f80backed Yes | 10c | 41,210$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 30,351$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.35 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 11c | 21,746$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.47 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 13c | 21,677$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…6b32backed Yes | 11c | 20,841$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 18,808$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.67 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 16c | 16,549$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.81 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…c15bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,876$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 2c | 13,942$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 13,286$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.45 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 10c | 13,025$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 12,913$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.5 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 12c | 12,507$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.69 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 12c | 11,939$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 2c | 11,228$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 11,146$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.55 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 10,483$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 15c | 10,278$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 15c | 8,643$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 8c | 8,038$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.69 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 7c | 7,485$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…f0ddbacked Yes | 15c | 6,761$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 8c | 6,680$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…aa77backed Yes | 9c | 6,486$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 15c | 6,353$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.25 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…007cbacked Yes | 17c | 5,957$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Yes | 17c | 5,859$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…80fabacked Yes | 13c | 5,607$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…2a7abacked Yes | 19c | 5,322$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…27a6backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,907$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 13c | 4,758$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…81c9backed Yes | 10c | 4,733$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…cba0backed Yes | 11c | 4,632$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…bcebbacked Yes | 12c | 4,283$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 6c | 4,263$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 14c | 4,248$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed Yes | 15c | 3,890$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 16c | 3,767$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,745$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…91e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,697$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 3,520$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.79 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 13c | 3,463$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,363$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 3,262$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…637cbacked Yes | 19c | 3,254$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 19c | 3,157$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,151$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 9c | 3,084$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…a101backed Yes | 16c | 3,060$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…90f0backed Yes | 9c | 3,042$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…283fbacked Yes | 16c | 3,036$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd8…a96abacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,896$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.79 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 4c | 2,856$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 14c | 2,847$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 10c | 2,837$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 2c | 2,829$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,788$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 11c | 2,730$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Yes | 19c | 2,663$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…9c45backed Yes | 11c | 2,662$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…035cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,627$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 16c | 2,567$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.61 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…166bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,537$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 11c | 2,398$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 10c | 2,384$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,343$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed Yes | 14c | 2,317$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…3f88backed Yes | 18c | 2,226$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…9919backed Yes | 14c | 2,208$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…3d96backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…ecffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,052$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 2,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 15c | 2,032$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 7c | 1,847$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 33cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 15c | 1,835$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…df4bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,810$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…0822backed Yes | 12c | 1,790$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 10c | 1,782$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…3bd3backed Yes | 14c | 1,765$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,737$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 11c | 1,706$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 11c | 1,700$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 15c | 1,649$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…368bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,583$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…5fccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,550$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…f61abacked Yes | 13c | 1,533$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 9c | 1,523$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…0dc8backed Yes | 8c | 1,514$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…8e3bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,509$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.