Ukraine · resolved market
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ecb710da7d97b76c1c99180d8f3d2afe052d09b68eca89b4cf3ce37a7a0a426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,238,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,257,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,238,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 723 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc001…d003backed Yes | 38c | 105,871$40,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,230.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…9c48backed No | 62c | 105,871$65,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,230.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…96c8backed Yes | 37c | 87,115$32,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,232.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…cd5dbacked No | 63c | 87,115$54,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,232.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…d0a5backed Yes | 28c | 53,787$15,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,060.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7888backed No | 72c | 53,787$38,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,060.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 64c | 48,673$31,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,663.18 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed Yes | 26c | 36,145$9,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 80c | 34,838$27,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,019.3 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 70c | 17,552$12,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.91 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3037…3e7ebacked Yes | 42c | 17,311$7,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,293.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 11c | 16,741$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.85 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 69c | 14,568$10,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 72c | 12,043$8,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 16c | 11,768$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.7 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 16c | 10,270$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.86 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 9,609$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.61 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 34c | 9,531$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 79c | 9,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 26c | 8,654$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…95e6backed No | 71c | 8,647$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 40c | 7,712$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 40c | 7,172$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 34c | 7,159$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Yes | 33c | 7,127$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed No | 79c | 7,100$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 70c | 6,730$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 6,072$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.77 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 6,010$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 5,277$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -89%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…8f5ebacked Yes | 29c | 5,257$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 33c | 5,095$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.74 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked No | 67c | 4,894$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.84 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 62c | 4,827$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 79c | 4,735$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 24c | 4,498$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.06 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 67c | 4,343$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.35 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 71c | 4,283$3,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.52 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016b…c8f0backed Yes | 26c | 4,269$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 29c | 4,227$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67d…9cafbacked Yes | 37c | 3,500$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 67c | 3,476$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 65c | 3,439$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.91 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked No | 62c | 3,111$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 27c | 3,100$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 35c | 2,912$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aba4backed Yes | 42c | 2,875$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 77c | 2,828$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.45 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 45c | 2,800$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…4814backed Yes | 37c | 2,790$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6400backed Yes | 29c | 2,717$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…086bbacked No | 76c | 2,620$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a06ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,588$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,577$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,577$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 38c | 2,500$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 39c | 2,497$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 29c | 2,460$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 2,326$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed Yes | 29c | 2,297$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Yes | 10c | 2,197$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 41c | 2,156$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…f8c9backed Yes | 28c | 2,001$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 15c | 1,995$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.84 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 17c | 1,993$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 35c | 1,932$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 36c | 1,931$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…1cedbacked Yes | 24c | 1,896$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 62c | 1,810$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 62c | 1,763$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 66c | 1,745$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.38 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a6dcbacked No | 79c | 1,665$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked No | 72c | 1,658$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 70c | 1,636$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,624$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 60c | 1,573$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.05 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Yes | 37c | 1,566$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 72c | 1,561$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked No | 79c | 1,558$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,541$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,541$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,482$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 31c | 1,480$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 76c | 1,479$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 35c | 1,430$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.42 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 26c | 1,426$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…00e3backed Yes | 45c | 1,425$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…1f85backed Yes | 31c | 1,352$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 24c | 1,305$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 73c | 1,303$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 35c | 1,266$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…33b8backed Yes | 27c | 1,244$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c14ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,212$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,210$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…e5afbacked Yes | 27c | 1,209$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,200$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 40c | 1,195$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 80c | 1,121$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.