Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa723a8b4f660aeb3d2f0101812d10db3df5745c3cdd043824cdc3ce4c2843221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 42c | 2,200$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.47 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 59c | 1,601$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.49 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 39c | 1,507$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.1 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 917.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 72c | 904.3$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.79 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 32c | 821.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.67 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 759.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 549.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 34c | 445.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 30c | 397.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.95 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 41c | 367.12$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 31c | 335$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 32c | 332.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.43 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 5c | 317$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 296$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed No | 31c | 270$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 33c | 242$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.14 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 71c | 231.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 27c | 191.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…5899backed Yes | 58c | 190$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…84edbacked Yes | 71c | 166.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 29c | 150$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 68c | 147.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 68c | 147.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 68c | 147.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Yes | 69c | 144.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…4683backed Yes | 71c | 140.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 68c | 138$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…9767backed Yes | 63c | 124.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 72c | 110.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 17c | 108.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…c58cbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 59c | 95.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3efb…caf2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Yes | 63c | 86.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…3560backed Yes | 70c | 85.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2ad8backed Yes | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 64c | 71.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 79c | 64.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked No | 34c | 64.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 71c | 61.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 55c | 57.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…ed19backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…27bdbacked Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb967…65edbacked No | 34c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8780…0ee9backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…c36ebacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…57b1backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -9.1wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed No | 36c | 28.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…5bfebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…dddebacked Yes | 68c | 25.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…f6c1backed Yes | 70c | 24.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6fa0backed No | 48c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 52c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…b676backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…4770backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.