Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb43e8668415f5b525fb1e006d3db1248dabdbf26259c40660d618602946d702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Yes | 60c | 3,032$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,916$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 37c | 2,879$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.65 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 40c | 1,738$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.14 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 60c | 1,656$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 63c | 1,224$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 39c | 1,129$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.02 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 40c | 1,000$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.77 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 54c | 840$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 607$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 536.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 58c | 518.69$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 40c | 450.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…f3ebbacked Yes | 68c | 368.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 56c | 353.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 46c | 286.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…bdc1backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 64c | 68.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f814backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…24e3backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3b…a248backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…25e4backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…ba0dbacked Yes | 60c | 47.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…2299backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Yes | 60c | 41.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08b…9404backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…3235backed No | 46c | 34.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…a3ecbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 55c | 30.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd627…f511backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…ead4backed No | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 59c | 20.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…91b8backed Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…fe65backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.