TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keydof UNO MILLE, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,916 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Keyd76c6,242$4,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.82,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed UNO MILLE0c4,560$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed UNO MILLE7c3,605$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.995543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd74c2,785$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7365,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked UNO MILLE33c2,255$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.873,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Keyd70c1,859$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Keyd69c1,704$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.851,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked UNO MILLE30c1,382$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6121939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE15c1,136$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.15,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed UNO MILLE23c1,134$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.960853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNO MILLE29c588.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.336,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8f…1b4fbacked UNO MILLE16c523.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed UNO MILLE21c470.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015033.3%50 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNO MILLE28c457.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.682,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE35c429.07$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.997,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked UNO MILLE10c417.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc10a…46b5backed Keyd79c280$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.78166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed UNO MILLE27c278.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.431,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed UNO MILLE19c233$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.21,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed UNO MILLE30c229.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed UNO MILLE29c211$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.197847.4%37 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed UNO MILLE16c209$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4333950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb868…a94ebacked UNO MILLE27c208.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.383633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Keyd65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7062350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed UNO MILLE19c192.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed UNO MILLE32c190.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8529831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNO MILLE9c180.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked UNO MILLE27c168.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed UNO MILLE27c162$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.362040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked UNO MILLE29c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4332351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Keyd79c133.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7126257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed UNO MILLE28c126.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Keyd61c125.16$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8115638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f03…2ddebacked UNO MILLE16c122.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed UNO MILLE28c120.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7746243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UNO MILLE33c118.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2587244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed UNO MILLE31c114.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UNO MILLE25c110.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.554,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3827…5455backed Keyd78c110$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.032240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked UNO MILLE27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.735744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed UNO MILLE25c105.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4410442.3%44 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed UNO MILLE25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5d…11d5backed UNO MILLE16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162347.8%11 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick23cpaid+110.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNO MILLE26c95.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Keyd74c87.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed UNO MILLE28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked UNO MILLE27c85.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed UNO MILLE26c85.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked UNO MILLE26c78.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb1…0154backed UNO MILLE14c77.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked UNO MILLE24c73.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3819259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNO MILLE24c73.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x913b…9d52backed UNO MILLE15c69.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Keyd74c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6818063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE23c65.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.232,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Keyd61c60.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4926657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed Keyd60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.219554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Keyd67c59.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7891648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacf7…a5ffbacked UNO MILLE24c55.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Keyd77c54.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4415436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed UNO MILLE29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Keyd78c48.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Keyd63c47.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2003…3a6bbacked Keyd59c44.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2610131.7%32 W · 69 L-21.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed UNO MILLE25c43.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8397230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5d…d84ebacked Keyd59c38.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Keyd73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.169863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd64c23.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.562,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bf…0971backed Keyd78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked Keyd75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520553.2%109 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e16…fe0abacked Keyd77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61353.8%7 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.23per pick77cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd231…8632backed Keyd77c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Keyd78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Keyd69c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.581,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked Keyd74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.773151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd71c16.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.871,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Keyd74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.937339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Keyd70c14.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.324850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf98…2649backed Keyd80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.