CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ccfb5e1070a91bc38cfbd6dcad0d72685b4764baa5c8026713b10658319b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof UNO MILLE, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,049 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 60c | 2,607$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UNO MILLE | 54c | 2,555$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.5 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 49c | 1,788$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked UNO MILLE | 47c | 1,523$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.76 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Keyd | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 49c | 991.52$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UNO MILLE | 56c | 964.58$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 55c | 943$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.65 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 26c | 923.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Keyd | 47c | 615$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNO MILLE | 44c | 436.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 73c | 382$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 31c | 235.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 69c | 235.64$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 48c | 224.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed UNO MILLE | 55c | 210.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Keyd | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Keyd | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Keyd | 40c | 198.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked UNO MILLE | 59c | 195.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked UNO MILLE | 43c | 135.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…906dbacked UNO MILLE | 41c | 126.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed UNO MILLE | 57c | 121.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Keyd | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Keyd | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Keyd | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Keyd | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 79.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Keyd | 55c | 76.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Keyd | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UNO MILLE | 53c | 48.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b8…fdbebacked Keyd | 28c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Keyd | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Keyd | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Keyd | 44c | 38.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 35.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Keyd | 42c | 33.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Keyd | 48c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Keyd | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Keyd | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Keyd | 49c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.