CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aba438c345d53e56b4fa7be9c5dbaea0c965c137d328d646b0b96302e9ec113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Procyon Gamingof FURIA fe, Procyon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,308 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA fe | 0c | 7,421$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed FURIA fe | 9c | 4,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed FURIA fe | 16c | 634.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed FURIA fe | 16c | 584.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed FURIA fe | 12c | 502.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…710cbacked FURIA fe | 15c | 465.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FURIA fe | 5c | 347$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FURIA fe | 20c | 302.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed FURIA fe | 14c | 266.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed FURIA fe | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed FURIA fe | 5c | 248.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FURIA fe | 11c | 243.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked FURIA fe | 9c | 230.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed FURIA fe | 10c | 224$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked FURIA fe | 21c | 155.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…aa18backed FURIA fe | 10c | 150.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed FURIA fe | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f03…2ddebacked FURIA fe | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA fe | 19c | 105.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FURIA fe | 17c | 89.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked FURIA fe | 24c | 82.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…6af3backed FURIA fe | 21c | 81.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FURIA fe | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed FURIA fe | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Procyon Gaming | 74c | 41.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…0093backed Procyon Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.