CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbf1a17e65f576e0b8a0ab035291ecc3883c66637dc3fb546594b1fce61493ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Astralis, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Astralis | 38c | 8,824$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.58 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 60c | 6,598$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.12 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.96 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 45c | 6,087$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.58 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 43c | 5,290$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 47c | 1,673$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.26 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 37c | 1,588$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Astralis | 28c | 1,073$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Astralis | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Heroic | 50c | 999.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Astralis | 32c | 920.55$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.23 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Heroic | 55c | 908.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Astralis | 46c | 866$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 51c | 786.58$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.74 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic | 65c | 774.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.9 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…8d31backed Heroic | 70c | 718.82$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 51c | 676.54$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Heroic | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis | 31c | 657$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 58c | 649.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.39 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 55c | 647.85$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic | 44c | 645.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Astralis | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic | 69c | 633.52$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 56c | 602.74$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Astralis | 44c | 538.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Astralis | 70c | 478$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic | 80c | 476.8$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 56c | 452.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.12 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Heroic | 63c | 449.16$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.2 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Heroic | 48c | 430$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Astralis | 66c | 413.82$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.12 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 49c | 371$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Astralis | 52c | 346.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…7780backed Heroic | 59c | 332.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Astralis | 36c | 320.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.19 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Astralis | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Astralis | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 45c | 293.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic | 64c | 289.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Astralis | 36c | 260$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic | 64c | 258.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Astralis | 58c | 255.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic | 76c | 255$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Heroic | 71c | 253.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Astralis | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Astralis | 49c | 232.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 33c | 228.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed Heroic | 42c | 210.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Heroic | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Heroic | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic | 64c | 194.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 39c | 173.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…498cbacked Heroic | 55c | 166.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Astralis | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Heroic | 73c | 137.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Heroic | 44c | 136.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 46c | 134$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 41c | 133$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 44c | 130.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Astralis | 42c | 125$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 62c | 124.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 65c | 109.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Astralis | 36c | 101.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Heroic | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Heroic | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Astralis | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic | 60c | 97.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Heroic | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Heroic | 65c | 93.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Astralis | 41c | 88.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 77c | 82.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Heroic | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Astralis | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed Heroic | 58c | 78.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Astralis | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…088fbacked Astralis | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Astralis | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…e074backed Astralis | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Heroic | 67c | 59.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Astralis | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Heroic | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Heroic | 53c | 56.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed Heroic | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked Heroic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Astralis | 52c | 49.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Astralis | 45c | 49.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Astralis | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heroic | 60c | 48.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Astralis | 31c | 46.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked Astralis | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Astralis | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Astralis | 39c | 39.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Astralis | 56c | 38.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…b6e3backed Heroic | 61c | 34.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.