CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb75d027d229621311d5bb3daf451f4bfc6a3c0f1af014a3cf6c32a04c1efdd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Astralis, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 29c | 28,177$8,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,072.14 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Heroic | 70c | 16,760$11,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.38 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Astralis | 29c | 15,039$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.69 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 57c | 9,516$5,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.47 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Astralis | 26c | 9,114$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.91 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…23c2backed Heroic | 75c | 4,700$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.99 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Astralis | 25c | 4,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 71c | 3,441$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.77 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Astralis | 18c | 2,803$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic | 73c | 2,685$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 30c | 2,651$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Heroic | 43c | 2,435$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.84 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Astralis | 24c | 2,397$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.87 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 64c | 2,268$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.05 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic | 66c | 2,226$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.4 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Astralis | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Heroic | 73c | 1,784$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.71 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Heroic | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.63 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic | 67c | 1,711$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.52 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Astralis | 24c | 1,665$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.92 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Heroic | 43c | 1,610$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.52 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…8d31backed Astralis | 49c | 1,532$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,502$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.31 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed Heroic | 75c | 1,400$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 74c | 1,200$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 45c | 1,105$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.04 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Heroic | 43c | 998.43$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Astralis | 27c | 871.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.11 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed Heroic | 43c | 791$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.87 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Astralis | 32c | 776.39$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.44 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 31c | 762.91$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Astralis | 25c | 762.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Astralis | 21c | 725.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Astralis | 30c | 715.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Astralis | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 41c | 683.19$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 21c | 611.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Astralis | 15c | 590$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 70c | 548.12$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Heroic | 68c | 546.78$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Astralis | 31c | 515.71$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Astralis | 35c | 508$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Heroic | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 24c | 498.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 63c | 473.61$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 23c | 453.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Astralis | 52c | 439.84$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.41 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Heroic | 70c | 428.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Astralis | 20c | 406.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Heroic | 70c | 388.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astralis | 24c | 378$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed Astralis | 33c | 375.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 23c | 375.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Heroic | 67c | 373.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Heroic | 63c | 365$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Heroic | 79c | 350$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Astralis | 23c | 344.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4461backed Astralis | 57c | 317.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Astralis | 32c | 311.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…54a3backed Heroic | 73c | 309$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Astralis | 34c | 291.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Heroic | 80c | 289.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Astralis | 46c | 283.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 32c | 276.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Astralis | 18c | 269$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis | 44c | 268$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 65c | 254.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Astralis | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Astralis | 39c | 234$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Astralis | 26c | 213.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Astralis | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 53c | 208.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 24c | 201.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Heroic | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Astralis | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Heroic | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Astralis | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Astralis | 29c | 180.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Heroic | 65c | 171.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Heroic | 71c | 166.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Astralis | 29c | 165.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Astralis | 20c | 164.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis | 28c | 159.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 25c | 155.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Heroic | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Heroic | 74c | 151.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic | 67c | 146.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Heroic | 53c | 142.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Astralis | 31c | 122$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Astralis | 20c | 121.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…9199backed Astralis | 25c | 120.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Astralis | 25c | 119.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Astralis | 21c | 118.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 67c | 111.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group BHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.