CS2 · resolved market
Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4691d31336dc9d855908c4c5dec44fa27adacb680fc0982298bf7fc632006da5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 8c | 14,152$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.13 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 6c | 946.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…fe5ebacked Yes | 14c | 735.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Yes | 9c | 584.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…aea3backed Yes | 8c | 377.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…3065backed Yes | 8c | 362.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 7c | 300.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…fbc2backed Yes | 9c | 226.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 218.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 7c | 188.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 7c | 156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 144.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 3DMAX win PGL Bucharest 2026?this page
- Will Astralis win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will B8 win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will FUT Esports win PGL Bucharest 2026?Yes won
- Will MIBR win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will PARIVISION win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
- Will The MongolZ win PGL Bucharest 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.