Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Kent vs Nottinghamshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d6a72146d4ec96140235e95d2adee95d61570c5e627ee7655a497a168753639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Kent, Nottinghamshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kent | 29c | 5,323$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.21 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…9645backed Kent | 35c | 5,199$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Nottinghamshire | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Kent | 49c | 4,668$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.55 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Nottinghamshire | 46c | 4,349$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.82 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nottinghamshire | 60c | 3,087$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.43 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Nottinghamshire | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.19 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 1,306$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.61 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 699.49$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nottinghamshire | 54c | 525.82$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.98 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Kent | 42c | 506.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Kent | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Nottinghamshire | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 29cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kent | 62c | 276$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent | 19c | 274.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Kent | 60c | 264$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Kent | 43c | 264$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…aea3backed Nottinghamshire | 39c | 256.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kent | 44c | 247.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Nottinghamshire | 38c | 243$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nottinghamshire | 41c | 233.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Kent | 48c | 208.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Nottinghamshire | 43c | 196$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kent | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kent | 16c | 177$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kent | 62c | 157$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Nottinghamshire | 37c | 146$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nottinghamshire | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Kent | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Nottinghamshire | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…563cbacked Nottinghamshire | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nottinghamshire | 57c | 81.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kent | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Nottinghamshire | 54c | 75.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Nottinghamshire | 60c | 73.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kent | 38c | 72.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kent | 44c | 67.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Kent | 44c | 61.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Kent | 26c | 55.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nottinghamshire | 49c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Kent | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Nottinghamshire | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Kent | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kent | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Nottinghamshire | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Kent | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 43.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nottinghamshire | 74c | 43.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Kent | 60c | 35.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nottinghamshire | 47c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Nottinghamshire | 61c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Nottinghamshire | 62c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Kent | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Kent | 38c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kent | 43c | 26.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kent | 48c | 24.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…4f1fbacked Kent | 52c | 23.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…ced9backed Kent | 46c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kent | 52c | 21.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Nottinghamshire | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd021…1425backed Nottinghamshire | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Kent vs Nottinghamshirethis page
- T20 Blast: Kent vs Nottinghamshire - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.