NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6f0610de3be72355f2fb3945868757ed42c448df061fac8ff3976ef259212cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Heat, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,405,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,680,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,405,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Heat | 47c | 340,878$159,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,417.65 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Pacers | 53c | 212,766$112,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000.02 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 47c | 156,127$72,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,900.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers | 54c | 150,000$81,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,000 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Pacers | 53c | 145,906$77,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,575.82 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Heat | 46c | 120,573$55,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,382.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Heat | 46c | 105,623$49,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,086.36 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pacers | 52c | 96,532$50,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,460.45 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Heat | 48c | 61,545$29,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,614.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Heat | 48c | 57,951$27,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,889.48 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 53c | 53,775$28,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,274.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pacers | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.95 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Pacers | 54c | 45,425$24,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,895.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Pacers | 52c | 40,286$20,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,328.21 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 54c | 40,257$21,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,518.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Pacers | 53c | 22,000$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,339.96 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 47c | 16,794$7,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,886.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Heat | 45c | 16,277$7,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.65 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Heat | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Pacers | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Heat | 47c | 10,250$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.32 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Pacers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Heat | 48c | 9,721$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Heat | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 40c | 6,505$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 48c | 6,483$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.44 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 25c | 5,927$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pacers | 75c | 5,706$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.31 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 54c | 5,407$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Pacers | 54c | 4,722$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.22 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers | 55c | 4,540$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…bca1backed Pacers | 50c | 4,161$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Heat | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Pacers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heat | 48c | 3,949$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 60c | 3,768$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…8d68backed Heat | 50c | 3,637$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56f…3bf2backed Heat | 50c | 3,334$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 55c | 3,312$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Heat | 48c | 3,228$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pacers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pacers | 52c | 2,756$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.94 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pacers | 54c | 2,504$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.9 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Heat | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.1 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…7f34backed Pacers | 50c | 1,982$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pacers | 51c | 1,951$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.98 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Pacers | 55c | 1,622$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Heat | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heat | 44c | 1,548$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heat | 25c | 1,546$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.16 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,482$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.08 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Pacers | 54c | 1,476$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Heat | 41c | 1,418$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.47 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…1a76backed Pacers | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…1e19backed Pacers | 55c | 1,124$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Heat | 44c | 1,103$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Pacers | 54c | 1,069$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.33 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pacers | 53c | 1,054$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 50c | 1,029$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Pacers | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Heat | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacers | 54c | 993$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pacers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Heat | 48c | 853$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.44 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Heat | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pacers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pacers | 52c | 790.36$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.58 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 54c | 749.91$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.03 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Heat | 24c | 740.13$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…a49abacked Pacers | 51c | 728.76$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 48c | 687.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Heat | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pacers | 74c | 674.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Pacers | 77c | 641.55$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 55c | 632.29$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heat | 46c | 626.23$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.05 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 46c | 614.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pacers | 54c | 541$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Heat | 46c | 537.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…d810backed Heat | 50c | 524$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Heat | 28c | 520.9$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Heat | 29c | 513.75$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Heat | 29c | 506.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Heat | 47c | 501.72$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Pacers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Pacers | 54c | 462.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Heat | 48c | 449.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 49c | 445$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Heat | 46c | 443.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pacers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Pacers | 67c | 399.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Heat | 48c | 389$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Pacers | 52c | 385.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 47c | 371$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Heat | 29c | 360.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-5.5)Pacers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Heat vs. PacersPacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 243.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 247.5Over won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 258.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 260.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 263.5Under won
- Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 266.5Under won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.