TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Pacers: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa729…9326backed Over51c46,677$23,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,871.734949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…f69ebacked Under49c19,510$9,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,559.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d4…5b76backed Under49c18,477$9,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,053.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c2f…adb0backed Over51c18,345$9,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,989.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc57b…1455backed Under49c18,131$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,884.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcae…ef67backed Under49c17,621$8,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,634.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…cf46backed Under49c17,239$8,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,447.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9285…33a8backed Under49c16,296$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,985.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…6a5fbacked Over51c16,208$8,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,941.925100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7b4…d418backed Under49c16,162$7,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,919.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15c4…345dbacked Over51c15,152$7,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,424.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4526…e769backed Over51c15,151$7,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,423.995100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc466…7d5fbacked Over51c14,916$7,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,308.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe533…510dbacked Under49c14,355$7,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,033.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd15…ba31backed Over51c14,019$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,869.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc352…1d1abacked Over51c13,994$7,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,857.065100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c12,594$6,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,171.11,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c9,621$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,634.375750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc583…ce45backed Under49c8,609$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6e…48e6backed Over51c6,242$3,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,060.422661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c5,470$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…f5abbacked Over51c5,101$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ea…9312backed Over51c4,928$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf28…86bfbacked Under49c4,245$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.05450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f4…82a6backed Under49c4,220$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de8…5d68backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…1bbdbacked Under51c4,072$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5e…6d7dbacked Over51c3,910$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa356…9a50backed Over51c3,431$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under49c3,150$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.511241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over49c3,098$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.919352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c3,080$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.682442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8016…f5fabacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over51c2,994$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.9521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,859$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ad…d215backed Under49c2,838$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8593…8cfbbacked Over53c2,811$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.126152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c2,801$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under48c2,795$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.575547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbd…5f49backed Over49c2,627$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…11cbbacked Under49c2,420$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c7…7f73backed Under49c2,409$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17627241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc24…6741backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c7…997fbacked Under50c2,120$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.384658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db3…92d2backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e9f…fd1fbacked Over50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4f…f445backed Under49c2,044$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9808754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,829$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.983,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,827$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc27…4543backed Under49c1,536$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under49c1,486$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.112950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under49c1,384$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67810556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,348$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.15,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c1,116$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.3987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd2…6d0dbacked Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001d…265ebacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c975.8$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c900.13$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf877…bfecbacked Under51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c889.25$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Over50c800$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x102b…950abacked Under49c763$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over51c728$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over52c586.05$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under52c585.26$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.926848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cb…7ec7backed Over51c575$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6265…f0fdbacked Over51c572$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.284100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c529.97$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50a…c8c2backed Under49c519$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c506.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcaa…7c13backed Over51c506$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.944100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under47c485.56$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.211,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…110fbacked Under49c484$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c452.29$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Over51c441.61$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40bb…52afbacked Under49c393$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c357.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a0…1c4ebacked Over51c353$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under51c338.63$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a9…26e1backed Over49c330.53$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c6…f61bbacked Under49c318$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…2791backed Under49c313$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc9…48b9backed Over51c292$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c268.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.371,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Under52c257.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over53c242.97$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x003f…24cabacked Under49c236$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f8…8dc1backed Under49c222$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4d…5c1fbacked Under49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812d…6bb5backed Over50c218.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819d…af88backed Over50c218.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.