TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Colorado Rockies, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks68c36,923$25,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,815.3926056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies32c20,948$6,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,671.210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks67c14,085$9,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,595.4743554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Colorado Rockies38c12,100$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6007243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c11,802$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,484.751,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies29c11,052$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.982,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies30c10,206$3,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.761,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks71c10,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9007647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies38c9,000$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.975,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks63c8,607$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.5477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies30c8,224$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.261,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies29c7,523$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.592,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies16c6,330$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.0711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Arizona Diamondbacks68c6,154$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.2315659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Colorado Rockies10c5,755$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006523.1%15 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c5,693$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.481,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Colorado Rockies37c5,263$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.3144953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8509560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks63c4,632$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.851,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies37c4,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Colorado Rockies27c3,968$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.2257548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies37c3,550$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.12,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Colorado Rockies35c3,034$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.5477951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Colorado Rockies33c3,022$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.524841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Colorado Rockies30c2,716$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.2815949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Colorado Rockies37c2,700$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99911347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies37c2,657$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.13,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies17c2,519$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.681,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Arizona Diamondbacks71c2,373$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.2314152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Colorado Rockies29c2,372$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.522,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…0690backed Colorado Rockies20c2,290$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.355038%19 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Colorado Rockies33c2,150$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6970546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies37c2,100$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.646,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Colorado Rockies15c2,071$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2639739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c1,875$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6755747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks63c1,714$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.267451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Arizona Diamondbacks64c1,649$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.494158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Colorado Rockies37c1,590$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.369453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Colorado Rockies36c1,590$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.392245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Colorado Rockies37c1,554$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c1,471$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.482245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Colorado Rockies30c1,171$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9324639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks70c1,084$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.974,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Colorado Rockies8c1,020$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Colorado Rockies38c1,010$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.873748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Colorado Rockies37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c999.98$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9928258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Colorado Rockies32c953.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30511547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks74c937.23$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.664,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies37c936.3$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.431,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Colorado Rockies22c901.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1616232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d24…b6ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks76c768.44$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8479147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks76c764.52$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.088,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Colorado Rockies38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c673.47$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1820455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks62c648$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.241,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies17c647.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.186,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Colorado Rockies12c633.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.981,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies20c630.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.768,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Colorado Rockies35c630.26$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.819842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c618.83$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9730242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Colorado Rockies12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…61f9backed Colorado Rockies10c599.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks74c589$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.716,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Colorado Rockies29c584.63$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2130452%158 W · 146 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Colorado Rockies37c540.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1321033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Colorado Rockies37c526.32$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7438444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Colorado Rockies34c519.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks68c504.84$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.555742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Colorado Rockies10c503.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Colorado Rockies38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Colorado Rockies38c500$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18938145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.194245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc980…83e6backed Colorado Rockies36c474.69$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Colorado Rockies26c450.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0833515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Colorado Rockies26c442.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11521147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ee…5506backed Colorado Rockies38c442.24$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Colorado Rockies38c442.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16846749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies36c439.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies37c436.1$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3692046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Colorado Rockies38c426.01$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8855052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies13c423.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.173,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies9c418.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.71,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Colorado Rockies22c411.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Colorado Rockies21c409.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.091,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Colorado Rockies37c408.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3344643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies32c407$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2470735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks64c406.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2561351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks78c402.92$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.391,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies9c394$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Colorado Rockies37c390.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6768846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79f8…7bb0backed Arizona Diamondbacks77c384.17$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Colorado Rockies37c380.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3284140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies19c375$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.065,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Rockies29c374.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3199624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Colorado Rockies27c366.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.886048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a1…97e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks79c337.67$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.341764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.879656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.