MLB · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98984471e61476608a169c6ab2ce0485b3ea9eefe70e9b5d0be2b741e552b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,487$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.24 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,643$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.06 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 1,590$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.18 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 1,532$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,297$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,049$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 603.51$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 513.49$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 504$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Colorado Rockies | 30c | 499.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 490.8$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 455$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 397.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 384$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 241.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 226.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 180.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Colorado Rockies | 74c | 175.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 163.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 162.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 155.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 147.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 126.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 120.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 117.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 107.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 95.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 86.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 81.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 75.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 67.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…81cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 64.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 76c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 49.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 45.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 40.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 37.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Colorado Rockies | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…8529backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 27.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.