TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,541,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,810,136

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,541,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Athletics74c169,828$125,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,561.2985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Pittsburgh Pirates28c117,497$32,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,514.218220.7%17 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates69c72,898$50,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,762.6498149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b21…a230backed Athletics55c60,436$33,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,466.714148.8%20 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics58c50,236$28,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,934.5360043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c46,508$18,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,485.418,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Pittsburgh Pirates23c43,574$10,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,484.484151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics48c36,149$17,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,383.4511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics56c28,765$16,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,074.8777053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics62c20,184$12,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,533.2295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c16,570$7,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,113.471,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Athletics62c15,000$9,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,250.8948451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics56c14,190$7,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,952.531,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Athletics78c13,363$10,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,411.7740043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics55c12,897$7,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.688,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c11,905$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.7629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c11,628$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.934942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates26c11,519$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.422,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Pittsburgh Pirates38c10,148$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,291.7815650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5f…cd1fbacked Athletics0c10,011$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics54c8,990$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,872.128,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c8,820$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,819.546152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics67c8,798$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.792,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics66c7,801$5,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,184.344,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c7,777$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.8447953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics61c7,337$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.181,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c5,838$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.953,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c5,299$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.5510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates44c5,189$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.5989153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Athletics55c5,135$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8009335.5%33 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates39c4,772$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.7912640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics56c4,506$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.216,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates23c3,866$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.982,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates23c3,509$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.325,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Athletics32c3,334$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.926947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics69c3,116$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.373,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c3,065$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.231233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+91.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Athletics76c3,027$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.417569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates43c2,936$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.371,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates36c2,923$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.786,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Athletics12c2,600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3125743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0211548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c2,238$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Athletics52c2,222$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked Athletics25c2,164$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.676415.6%10 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c2,093$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.491,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Athletics67c2,055$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37017951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics67c2,044$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.8833864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c1,954$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.1452228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Athletics56c1,924$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.543938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c1,907$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.633852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics72c1,857$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.374,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics57c1,845$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.5957548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates38c1,754$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.512944.2%57 W · 72 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Pittsburgh Pirates44c1,583$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics59c1,554$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.2891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c1,406$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.664,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c1,376$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates45c1,331$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0922153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Pittsburgh Pirates68c1,188$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5311749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates31c1,117$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.714,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Athletics80c1,015$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.6274657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6205435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85036729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates44c997.73$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.732365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Athletics58c924.26$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2646946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates19c913.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.8744744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…1fafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52512448.4%60 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics55c803.06$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6871850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Athletics59c803.05$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.7151849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics59c780$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.22,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates13c750$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Athletics71c706.14$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3621242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Athletics61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates44c642.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0637748.8%184 W · 193 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Athletics56c642.86$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates28c638.19$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4992046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics59c625.03$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.041,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates16c614.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.9931958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Athletics71c612.92$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.171947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5201…d9d6backed Athletics20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Athletics20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Athletics20c599.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206421.9%14 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c576.05$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.3844651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Pittsburgh Pirates27c563.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.2253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Pittsburgh Pirates19c544.05$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.689837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates44c529.98$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.7968846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Pittsburgh Pirates55c524.02$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4288053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c516.97$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.51,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates43c515$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.552,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics78c514.58$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.811,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics58c506.54$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.334,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics56c502.32$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.31,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29024448.4%118 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Pittsburgh Pirates44c487.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2444643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Pittsburgh Pirates21c472.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.587321.9%16 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates39c469.23$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2311632.8%38 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01a4…076ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates29c466.93$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.