MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af9c9e4ff08dad5fda632b3270b858428a062548d7cb9d46d44df7bb7c4da5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Athletics, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Athletics | 42c | 47,897$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 16,973$10,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 13,720$7,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 24c | 9,328$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 6,988$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 6,591$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 41c | 5,811$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 74c | 4,539$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 26c | 3,626$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 24c | 2,591$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,387$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.38 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,260$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Athletics | 41c | 1,199$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.2 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 935$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Athletics | 41c | 782.55$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 590.45$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Athletics | 40c | 502.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Athletics | 16c | 468.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Athletics | 28c | 424.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Athletics | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 381.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.48 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 364$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 323.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 299$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 277.9$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 209.38$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 173.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Athletics | 40c | 147.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 134.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 32c | 133.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 130.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 127.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 124$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 35c | 122.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 119.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Athletics | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…aa8ebacked Athletics | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Athletics | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Athletics | 48c | 99.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…e839backed Athletics | 50c | 95.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Athletics | 17c | 93.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b053backed Athletics | 42c | 75.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Athletics | 24c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 70.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 59.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…d517backed Athletics | 24c | 54.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Athletics | 57c | 52.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Athletics | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…f525backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 50.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Athletics | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Athletics | 47c | 49.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Athletics | 39c | 44.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Athletics | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 34.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 34.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 32.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…0838backed Athletics | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…7027backed Athletics | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 22.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Athletics | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…d626backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…1551backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.