MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19d154d173d4dd8fb32b77e248400a145c1917060a6318ea2d45713fad535bde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 52,949$25,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,739.49 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 25,663$12,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,743.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 14,999$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.65 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 12,900$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,063 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 11,392$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.09 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 10,367$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.34 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 53c | 6,767$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.49 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 6,363$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 5,812$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 4,214$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 57c | 3,819$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 3,574$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 3,268$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 50c | 1,875$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,672$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 54c | 1,409$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.25 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,365$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 4c | 1,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,065$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.4 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 52c | 764.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 48c | 672$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 616.22$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 522$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 54c | 428.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 417.36$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 395.37$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 376.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 363$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 54c | 327$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 54c | 322.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 54c | 286.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 54c | 278.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 43c | 246.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 47c | 228.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 54c | 224.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 218$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 14c | 164.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 51c | 144.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 67c | 121.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 98.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 51c | 94.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…37f1backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Over | 54c | 64.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 50c | 59.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 40c | 54.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 52c | 52.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 53c | 50.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 44.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 54c | 44.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…ddc7backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 38c | 41.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 51c | 41.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 51c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…d179backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506e…e41bbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe0…05b5backed Under | 47c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Over | 54c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…14edbacked Under | 47c | 25.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Under | 50c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6d1dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 73c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.