TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under49c52,949$25,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,739.4943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c25,663$12,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,743.7211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over52c14,999$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.6548451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over53c12,900$6,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,06344851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under47c11,392$5,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,354.091,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c10,367$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.344,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over53c6,767$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.4947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c6,363$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.054,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c5,812$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.9310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c4,500$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over52c4,214$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.833,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under57c3,819$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17724551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c3,574$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c3,268$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.984,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Under50c1,875$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9358166.7%54 W · 27 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,672$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.1212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over54c1,409$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.2589153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,365$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.496,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under4c1,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525942.4%25 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5722737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c1,065$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over52c764.19$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5247350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under48c672$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.42,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over51c616.22$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9561450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c522$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.492,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over54c428.59$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1520945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.62,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over51c417.36$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.693,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Under49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9211662.9%73 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18869351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c395.37$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.278,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over47c376.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.65,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bfa…8b61backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3718356.8%104 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c363$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.892,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over54c327$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4272648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over54c322.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4337052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under54c286.2$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.571,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over54c278.82$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8212253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over54c275$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.546557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Under43c246.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…ffcabacked Under47c228.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.25149%25 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over54c224.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0725149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over52c218$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.241,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under46c215$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.91,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9441152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under14c164.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6354715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.571,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over50c159.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9643560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6944949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Over51c144.96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.036947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over67c121.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.035,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c98.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.368,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Under51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.131,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.422,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43dc…37f1backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.073060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Over54c64.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7916450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b07…5f54backed Under50c59.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.86546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under40c54.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7269447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over53c53.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9731258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under52c52.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7374657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over53c50.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5827454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over51c44.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2239053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over54c44.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5313260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over50c44.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Under49c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5620745.9%95 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67d…2de1backed Under38c41.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.927444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over51c41.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1344345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over51c38.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7417953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bba…e4a7backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.746850%34 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7450962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5899…d179backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over51c37.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cf…6659backed Under47c35.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.170737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x506e…e41bbacked Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.588053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6335849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe0…05b5backed Under47c25.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.32per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Over54c25.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.98544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97c…14edbacked Under47c25.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked Under51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.673855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over54c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0726940.5%109 W · 160 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over52c23.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under55c22.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2163943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4927…deaebacked Under50c20.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.343735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over54c20.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.341,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.816057.5%92 W · 68 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a7…6d1dbacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over73c15.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.154,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.