MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1904507379fac7c051a817092cde6e3797800474016c663a7b00cb368ad6a352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $770,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $778,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 496 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 85,440$34,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,512.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 76,665$41,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,987.98 | 1,436 | 49.3%708 W · 728 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Houston Astros | 44c | 68,931$30,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,329.63 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 52c | 45,683$23,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,890.24 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 55c | 36,313$20,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,003.54 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 35,804$18,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,206.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.95 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 23,167$12,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,425.15 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 22,981$10,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,477 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 45c | 22,403$10,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,081.36 | 280 | 53.2%149 W · 131 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 60c | 22,136$13,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.5 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 55c | 21,576$11,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,823.4 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 20,234$10,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.13 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 20,135$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.68 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 20,069$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,068.61 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 19,063$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.78 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Houston Astros | 45c | 16,010$7,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,204.71 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 13,803$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.51 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 47c | 13,550$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.4 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 12,313$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,323.56 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 10,084$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.75 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Houston Astros | 40c | 10,057$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 544 | 51.1%278 W · 266 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Houston Astros | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Houston Astros | 41c | 9,719$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 51c | 9,111$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…1ffdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 8,248$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 6,849$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.29 | 630 | 43.3%273 W · 357 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 44c | 6,155$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.39 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 5,682$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.08 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 5,379$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.75 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 5,000$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.83 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Houston Astros | 45c | 4,880$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.14 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 4,797$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.65 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 53c | 4,669$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.27 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Houston Astros | 45c | 4,584$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.84 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 47c | 4,135$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.62 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 48c | 3,766$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Houston Astros | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 3,585$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.78 | 350 | 50.9%178 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 52c | 3,535$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.93 | 2,150 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,071 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,448$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.49 | 904 | 53.5%484 W · 420 L | +24.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 3,195$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.32 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,121$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.69 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,600$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.91 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,600$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 2,439$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,334$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.25 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 2,222$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.81 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 2,200$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.03 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 2,150$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 2,075$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,047$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 2,037$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,020$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.24 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,000$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.31 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Houston Astros | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,965$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,890$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.17 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,878$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,777$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.97 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,750$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,738$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,707$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,654$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,635$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,633$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.89 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,623$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,620$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 1,593$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.02 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,531$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,520$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,472$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,471$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,448$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 58c | 1,434$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.41 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,418$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.81 | 1,003 | 24.7%248 W · 755 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,376$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,303$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.04 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,295$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,269$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,237$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.81 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,233$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,230$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.32 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 1,202$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.95 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,201$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.