Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be64f77a07b65753b60588164483e5f17a9d970413c4a677fc4e896f6ed55e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camilo Ugo Carabelliof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Nicolas Mejia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolas Mejia | 7c | 13,670$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Nicolas Mejia | 20c | 3,273$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Mejia | 18c | 1,387$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolas Mejia | 8c | 1,231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nicolas Mejia | 53c | 1,216$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.16 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…8b0dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…b417backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 982.27$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.46 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Nicolas Mejia | 14c | 939.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 820.51$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 742.9$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 79c | 633$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolas Mejia | 24c | 518.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nicolas Mejia | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 44c | 489.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 405.04$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 356.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 237.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 215.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nicolas Mejia | 51c | 211.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 201.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 199.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Nicolas Mejia | 48c | 185.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 183.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 172.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 79c | 169.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 133.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 131.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Mejia | 23c | 121.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nicolas Mejia | 47c | 105.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Nicolas Mejia | 48c | 105.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 99.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 99.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolas Mejia | 33c | 95.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Nicolas Mejia | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 54c | 82.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Mejia | 36c | 78.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 55c | 78.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nicolas Mejia | 33c | 49.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Nicolas Mejia | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…5bc8backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Mejia | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Nicolas Mejia | 54c | 36.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 51c | 31.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Nicolas Mejia | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 50c | 29.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 65c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…afb7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nicolas Mejia | 41c | 26.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nicolas Mejia | 54c | 24.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…bb87backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ef…e0fbbacked Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…733bbacked Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…eca8backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…7f10backed Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…b2cdbacked Nicolas Mejia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 66c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.