TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90f9…b2cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.85
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.34
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.92
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$17.06
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.