NHL · resolved market
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Bremerhaven
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5767f25ad0475338701e1c04997896d600e49832845694b02e1427ad79299167
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adler Mannheimof Adler Mannheim, Bremerhaven
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bremerhaven | 35c | 687.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.47 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Bremerhaven | 40c | 548.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…dbaebacked Adler Mannheim | 65c | 301.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Adler Mannheim | 65c | 155.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adler Mannheim | 77c | 134.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Adler Mannheim | 64c | 129.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Adler Mannheim | 64c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bremerhaven | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Adler Mannheim | 65c | 82.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Adler Mannheim | 72c | 76.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Adler Mannheim | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Bremerhaven | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Adler Mannheim | 65c | 63.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Adler Mannheim | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Adler Mannheim | 75c | 53.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Adler Mannheim | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Adler Mannheim | 47c | 44.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Adler Mannheim | 76c | 32.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Adler Mannheim | 71c | 32.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…1d9dbacked Bremerhaven | 37c | 30.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Adler Mannheim | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Adler Mannheim | 78c | 29.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Adler Mannheim | 78c | 27.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Adler Mannheim | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…b2cdbacked Adler Mannheim | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Adler Mannheim | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Adler Mannheim | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Adler Mannheim | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.