TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ba2…733b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.58
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.59
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.7
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.7
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$22.26
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$20.21
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$22.64
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.