UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89d7642ca87ed765ed01b656243eb69567891f0ccdb76af818778aaa1287803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacobyof Jacoby, Walker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Walker | 43c | 77,845$33,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,394.81 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Walker | 42c | 71,515$30,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,021.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jacoby | 58c | 63,653$36,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,734.16 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jacoby | 57c | 43,609$24,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,751.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Jacoby | 52c | 30,263$15,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,524.23 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…c096backed Walker | 48c | 30,251$14,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,419.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Walker | 41c | 23,334$9,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,643.54 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jacoby | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Jacoby | 57c | 16,481$9,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.94 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Jacoby | 58c | 13,500$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jacoby | 58c | 13,218$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.5 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Jacoby | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Jacoby | 57c | 9,134$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.51 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Jacoby | 58c | 8,640$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.71 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Walker | 41c | 7,847$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.9 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Walker | 42c | 7,437$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.53 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Jacoby | 61c | 7,121$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.01 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Walker | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.92 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jacoby | 57c | 6,397$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.78 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Jacoby | 56c | 6,141$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Walker | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Walker | 42c | 5,599$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.62 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Walker | 39c | 5,263$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.64 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Jacoby | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Walker | 43c | 5,000$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.62 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jacoby | 59c | 4,705$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.61 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…c7eebacked Walker | 39c | 4,659$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Walker | 41c | 4,650$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Walker | 40c | 4,111$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Jacoby | 60c | 3,812$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Walker | 38c | 3,572$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.32 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Walker | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…2c74backed Walker | 44c | 2,967$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jacoby | 58c | 2,822$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.46 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jacoby | 66c | 2,561$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.62 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Jacoby | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Walker | 42c | 2,333$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Walker | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Walker | 42c | 2,172$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.78 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jacoby | 61c | 2,022$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.74 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Jacoby | 59c | 2,000$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.96 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Jacoby | 59c | 1,908$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.19 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jacoby | 62c | 1,791$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.14 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Walker | 40c | 1,564$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Jacoby | 60c | 1,400$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jacoby | 62c | 1,327$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.86 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Walker | 39c | 1,279$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.83 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Walker | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Walker | 41c | 1,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jacoby | 70c | 1,210$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.24 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Walker | 43c | 1,193$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Walker | 39c | 1,173$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Walker | 40c | 1,166$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.81 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Walker | 44c | 1,159$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.11 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Jacoby | 65c | 1,084$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Jacoby | 60c | 1,075$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.44 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Jacoby | 59c | 1,012$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Jacoby | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Jacoby | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Walker | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Walker | 47c | 936$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Walker | 5c | 900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…363dbacked Jacoby | 59c | 877.97$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Jacoby | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Jacoby | 74c | 864.72$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…7a52backed Jacoby | 58c | 855.29$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Walker | 35c | 745.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Walker | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Jacoby | 49c | 686$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.61 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Walker | 46c | 639.03$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Jacoby | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Walker | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Walker | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Walker | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Jacoby | 57c | 598.53$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.37 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Jacoby | 58c | 591.38$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jacoby | 57c | 566$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.58 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked Jacoby | 59c | 565.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Walker | 16c | 539.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Jacoby | 59c | 526.89$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.42 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Walker | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Jacoby | 61c | 495.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Jacoby | 61c | 492.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Jacoby | 61c | 490$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Jacoby | 58c | 474.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.14 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Walker | 40c | 433.68$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Jacoby | 58c | 406.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Walker | 60c | 382$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Jacoby | 57c | 350.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Walker | 39c | 349.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Jacoby | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Jacoby | 59c | 339.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Walker | 35c | 331.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Jacoby | 58c | 328.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Jacoby | 63c | 320.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Walker | 41c | 320$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 32cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Jacoby | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Jacoby | 60c | 299.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked Walker | 43c | 284.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Walker | 41c | 281.63$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- Will Dustin Jacoby win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Julius Walker win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.