MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d2fef041b413fcbead12f41b5d45be8da7b202a73e41e2759e134e9662774a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Samsung Lions, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa39a…1246backed LG Twins | 51c | 2,551$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Samsung Lions | 1c | 1,127$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked LG Twins | 52c | 911.18$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.18 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 598.78$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 316.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 299.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 293.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 254.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0092…0180backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked LG Twins | 51c | 192.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 77c | 163.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Samsung Lions | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 133.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 124.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 117.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed LG Twins | 52c | 116.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 113.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed LG Twins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 76c | 99.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f1…1c7abacked LG Twins | 52c | 77.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 21c | 74.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Samsung Lions | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 20c | 73.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 61.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked LG Twins | 52c | 57.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 26c | 53.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked LG Twins | 72c | 43.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 41.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked LG Twins | 49c | 34.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 49c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…10f2backed LG Twins | 72c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…81c7backed LG Twins | 73c | 20.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…733bbacked Samsung Lions | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed LG Twins | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…7f8dbacked LG Twins | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed LG Twins | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.