TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x147f…5f7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.33
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.6
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Northamptonshirebacked Northamptonshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$9.93
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Somersetbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.23
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Worcestershirebacked Worcestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.7
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.61
T20 Series Sweden vs Portugal: Sweden vs Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.64
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.98
T20 Central Europe Cup: Czechia vs Luxembourgbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$36.04
Major League Cricket: Washington Freedom vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$28.38
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Irelandbacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$75.88
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Mi New Yorkbacked Mi New York · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.23
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.05
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xibacked Zimbabwe High Performance Xi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.07
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$26.13
Major League Cricket: Texas Super Kings vs Seattle Orcasbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotlandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$41.42
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lankabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.89
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.99
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwandabacked Botswana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Derbyshirebacked Leicestershire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$12.02
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.09
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked AG.AL International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$30.29
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.03
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$17.3
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.07
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stagebacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.9%+$4.07
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.46
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.88
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$47.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.