Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf072d2107c7d87efecaadfb2e2c54a781d8b6d193d61d981f5ea2b6b065b5b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zimbabwe High Performance Xiof Rwanda, Zimbabwe High Performance Xi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rwanda | 29c | 372.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Rwanda | 24c | 317.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rwanda | 15c | 272.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 45c | 219$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 70c | 204.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rwanda | 51c | 122.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Rwanda | 43c | 109.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Rwanda | 42c | 95.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 49c | 93.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 46c | 87.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Rwanda | 45c | 85.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 76c | 79.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a53…0eecbacked Rwanda | 39c | 76.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…ef73backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 67c | 41.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Rwanda | 32c | 32.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7267…b086backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Zimbabwe High Performance Xi | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…869abacked Rwanda | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Rwanda | 60c | 19.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.