Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22decff8a5fe1a7c0f9cd72d74263d15719dc2a2c4d1eef3efed0d7cda22fc6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolves Esportsof Nova Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5af…e4debacked Nova Esports | 38c | 996$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…aea0backed Nova Esports | 38c | 849$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Wolves Esports | 40c | 813.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.77 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…517dbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 803$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 735.35$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nova Esports | 60c | 631.5$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 541.15$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…d2a7backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…9687backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 496$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…198fbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 495$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nova Esports | 49c | 426$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…2c59backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 402$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…ec1fbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 401$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 390$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nova Esports | 40c | 371$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ae…8fbdbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 354$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nova Esports | 76c | 336.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.68 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Nova Esports | 69c | 218.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…9a41backed Nova Esports | 69c | 205$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Nova Esports | 40c | 198.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nova Esports | 40c | 182.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 168.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 45c | 161.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 55c | 138.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Wolves Esports | 47c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nova Esports | 54c | 109.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked Wolves Esports | 72c | 109.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 106.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wolves Esports | 23c | 99.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…718dbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 81.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…89abbacked Nova Esports | 56c | 66.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nova Esports | 33c | 60.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Nova Esports | 30c | 54.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Wolves Esports | 50c | 50.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nova Esports | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Nova Esports | 79c | 49.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…6550backed Nova Esports | 74c | 47.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Nova Esports | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nova Esports | 23c | 45.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Nova Esports | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Nova Esports | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 33.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…07c4backed Nova Esports | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Wolves Esports | 45c | 30.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Wolves Esports | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Wolves Esports | 58c | 27.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…1942backed Nova Esports | 54c | 27.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Nova Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Wolves Esports | 64c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Wolves Esports | 65c | 21.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…415fbacked Wolves Esports | 64c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Wolves Esports | 57c | 18.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.