Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cf6e726bc7d8091a5494e3796d5e1717db4f034433806f09d8ddc485822f194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Nepal, United Arab Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed United Arab Emirates | 8c | 2,351$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.65 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked United Arab Emirates | 36c | 1,408$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.04 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed United Arab Emirates | 34c | 1,150$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.77 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed United Arab Emirates | 21c | 1,147$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed United Arab Emirates | 3c | 612.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked United Arab Emirates | 21c | 520.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nepal | 80c | 448.78$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked United Arab Emirates | 46c | 361.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed United Arab Emirates | 5c | 332.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Nepal | 77c | 319.75$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nepal | 74c | 261.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Nepal | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nepal | 63c | 193.63$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…f01dbacked United Arab Emirates | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…8322backed United Arab Emirates | 14c | 153.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Nepal | 54c | 133.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nepal | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed United Arab Emirates | 19c | 95.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 211 | 36%76 W · 135 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked United Arab Emirates | 40c | 94.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed Nepal | 60c | 89.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked United Arab Emirates | 35c | 83.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed United Arab Emirates | 25c | 81.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked United Arab Emirates | 25c | 74.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed United Arab Emirates | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked United Arab Emirates | 23c | 64.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nepal | 63c | 51.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…a82cbacked Nepal | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed United Arab Emirates | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…ad79backed United Arab Emirates | 42c | 41.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked United Arab Emirates | 33c | 40.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nepal | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed United Arab Emirates | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 58c | 35.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…b3eebacked Nepal | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Nepal | 63c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…4761backed United Arab Emirates | 42c | 25.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.