TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff63…ad79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
Rome: Remy Bertola vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.29
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$29.77
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.19
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Split: Maxim Mrva vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Duje Ajdukovicbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+62%+$27.27
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Alicante: Lloyd Harris vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.36
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$25.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Cleveland Monstersbacked Cleveland Monsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked United Arab Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Quetta Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.