MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d62978c374ce58f0aae7089e86d9dcc22ce2c772fedb298c88e395e039a8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 1,344$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 1,003$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 73c | 914.55$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 846.67$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 546.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 508.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 500.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 474.91$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 386.22$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 376.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 339.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 290.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 277.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 253.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 232.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 221.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 198.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 197.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 193.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 193.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 170.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 163.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…f28abacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 153.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 152.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 149.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 123$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 112.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 98.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 96.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 94.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 93.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 87.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 85.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 85.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 66.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 63.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Lotte Giants | 32c | 60.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 46.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…ad79backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…0333backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 42.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 42.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 41.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 36.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 35.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 34.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Doosan Bears | 72c | 34.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 34.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…4761backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…dd58backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 24.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…ff03backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…f125backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Doosan Bears | 70c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 19.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 17.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Doosan Bears | 71c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.