MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499e65e3e7e193ab9bbb548b8c7f91fd6dff6c3affb0635770746bc6ffee03ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof NC Dinos, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked NC Dinos | 24c | 1,095$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed NC Dinos | 66c | 587.18$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.54 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 581.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.63 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 574.07$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NC Dinos | 67c | 565.58$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.94 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 56c | 519.35$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 501.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 400.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 399.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.95 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked NC Dinos | 69c | 341.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.89 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed NC Dinos | 64c | 325.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 317.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 302.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed NC Dinos | 63c | 299.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed NC Dinos | 66c | 288.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed NC Dinos | 60c | 283.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked NC Dinos | 11c | 207.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…6eb7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 204.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 64c | 200.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked NC Dinos | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 186.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 149.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NC Dinos | 65c | 146.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed NC Dinos | 65c | 143.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 143.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 122.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed NC Dinos | 65c | 118.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 102.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 93.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed NC Dinos | 69c | 93.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked NC Dinos | 70c | 90.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NC Dinos | 58c | 87.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 87.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed NC Dinos | 70c | 78.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed NC Dinos | 68c | 77.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked NC Dinos | 66c | 76.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed NC Dinos | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 74.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 68c | 61.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed NC Dinos | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed NC Dinos | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 51.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 72c | 49.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed NC Dinos | 64c | 41.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 41.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…ad79backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 37.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NC Dinos | 68c | 35.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 62c | 35.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 33.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NC Dinos | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 29.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c9…f28abacked NC Dinos | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 20.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 70c | 19.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed NC Dinos | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed NC Dinos | 70c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos | 64c | 17.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed NC Dinos | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…ac1bbacked NC Dinos | 70c | 14.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.