NHL · resolved market
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Cleveland Monsters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88dd3a2e02c8f58234cb688902543b88612de7c124701cc4db8bc392905e22d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Crunchof Syracuse Crunch, Cleveland Monsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Syracuse Crunch | 52c | 1,644$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.26 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…6541backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 681.73$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 282.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Cleveland Monsters | 43c | 193.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Syracuse Crunch | 54c | 187.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cleveland Monsters | 47c | 102.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Cleveland Monsters | 46c | 100.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Syracuse Crunch | 54c | 91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Cleveland Monsters | 38c | 89.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…4761backed Syracuse Crunch | 53c | 89.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cleveland Monsters | 47c | 73.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Cleveland Monsters | 46c | 64.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Syracuse Crunch | 62c | 63.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Syracuse Crunch | 54c | 59.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cleveland Monsters | 47c | 57.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Cleveland Monsters | 47c | 56.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Syracuse Crunch | 56c | 48.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 44.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Cleveland Monsters | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cleveland Monsters | 47c | 38.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Cleveland Monsters | 44c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Syracuse Crunch | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…ad79backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 26.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Cleveland Monsters | 46c | 23.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…24f1backed Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.