TailMyPicks

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NHL · resolved market

KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Traktorof Traktor, Ak Bars Kazan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ak Bars Kazan20c768.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2692049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Traktor47c670.73$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.535154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Ak Bars Kazan24c415.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.795354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Traktor43c411.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2716235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan55c403.87$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.271,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Ak Bars Kazan49c350.77$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2124946.2%115 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Ak Bars Kazan55c295.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5531448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Traktor48c228.61$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…e64ebacked Ak Bars Kazan49c219.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…bf15backed Traktor51c219.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…e3c0backed Ak Bars Kazan49c219$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…30a3backed Traktor51c217.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…eccbbacked Traktor51c215.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8221…28fbbacked Traktor51c214.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98c…86a4backed Traktor51c214.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1012…751dbacked Traktor51c213.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc18b…d072backed Ak Bars Kazan49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af2…f3b9backed Ak Bars Kazan49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf41…807fbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c211$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2263…5e71backed Ak Bars Kazan49c211$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f9…84a9backed Traktor51c209.93$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d6…aafdbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c209$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…0139backed Traktor51c208.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc005…fc87backed Ak Bars Kazan49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc08b…9cd6backed Ak Bars Kazan49c207$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb41…6045backed Traktor51c207$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb260…8afabacked Traktor51c204.85$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa389…6158backed Ak Bars Kazan49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f1…db45backed Traktor51c202.05$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd014…789cbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ba…100bbacked Traktor51c200.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea51…87e9backed Ak Bars Kazan49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6954…bb65backed Ak Bars Kazan49c198$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2644…92f1backed Ak Bars Kazan52c198$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa75…f50cbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c198$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f06…9292backed Traktor51c196.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e05…486cbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ce…3c4abacked Ak Bars Kazan49c195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e7…2729backed Traktor48c194.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7e…5714backed Traktor51c192.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor51c191.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.183149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…80cabacked Traktor51c190.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9cf…0516backed Traktor51c190.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1a…15a3backed Ak Bars Kazan49c189$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc9…ddebbacked Traktor51c188.4$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb59e…2878backed Traktor51c187.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c21…3c7cbacked Ak Bars Kazan49c187$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ae…c7b1backed Traktor51c186.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b83…48b2backed Traktor51c183.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43c…bd4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea2…8a34backed Ak Bars Kazan49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ak Bars Kazan50c145.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc916…5403backed Ak Bars Kazan51c142.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0413954%75 W · 64 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Ak Bars Kazan56c107.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9931248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Ak Bars Kazan56c101.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0918132%58 W · 123 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Ak Bars Kazan49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.727947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Ak Bars Kazan47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb980…c8e2backed Traktor50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ak Bars Kazan57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507450%37 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan48c84.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.391,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Ak Bars Kazan19c81.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.595655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff63…ad79backed Traktor50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Traktor45c78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.915676.8%43 W · 13 L+10.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+42.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Ak Bars Kazan50c69.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9243250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Ak Bars Kazan17c67.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0e9dbacked Traktor48c61.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Ak Bars Kazan26c60.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.813565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Traktor50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d6…48b6backed Traktor50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ak Bars Kazan17c58.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1122250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2163…8c89backed Ak Bars Kazan52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Traktor44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.824761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ak Bars Kazan25c52.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2965721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Traktor59c50.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.484060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Traktor50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259060%54 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Traktor48c49.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9336662%227 W · 139 L+39.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ak Bars Kazan44c47.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Ak Bars Kazan50c40.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe86f…b8d9backed Ak Bars Kazan51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Ak Bars Kazan51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Ak Bars Kazan59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ak Bars Kazan51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7955048.2%265 W · 285 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Ak Bars Kazan53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8422255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95d…0947backed Ak Bars Kazan64c27.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.652972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Traktor59c24.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8815560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a84…cac8backed Ak Bars Kazan51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Ak Bars Kazan51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119954.5%54 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d1…4cb7backed Ak Bars Kazan51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27753.2%41 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…9fc9backed Traktor50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Traktor72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2315368%104 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.