Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Nepal vs UAE: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5daa41d3833600fe6f6c1917672c77740c9990b2c00ac1300ab34cfd4e844481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- United Arab Emiratesof Nepal, United Arab Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked Nepal | 10c | 1,730$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 77 | 5.2%4 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked United Arab Emirates | 61c | 1,638$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.58 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked United Arab Emirates | 70c | 1,391$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…713dbacked Nepal | 37c | 1,340$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nepal | 32c | 916.64$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed United Arab Emirates | 43c | 819.96$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.76 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Nepal | 8c | 806.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Nepal | 52c | 782.86$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nepal | 25c | 725.89$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Nepal | 50c | 714.46$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.05 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked United Arab Emirates | 69c | 588.23$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.17 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Nepal | 66c | 544.62$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed United Arab Emirates | 64c | 530.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Nepal | 30c | 506.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed United Arab Emirates | 67c | 500.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nepal | 61c | 493.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.84 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Nepal | 6c | 461.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked United Arab Emirates | 71c | 413.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked United Arab Emirates | 68c | 396.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nepal | 33c | 374.44$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed United Arab Emirates | 67c | 343.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nepal | 31c | 321.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Nepal | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Nepal | 26c | 280$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nepal | 36c | 276.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked United Arab Emirates | 61c | 262.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Nepal | 27c | 232.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed United Arab Emirates | 71c | 221.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed United Arab Emirates | 63c | 211.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed United Arab Emirates | 69c | 211$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked United Arab Emirates | 64c | 201.29$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nepal | 23c | 198.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Nepal | 29c | 197.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed United Arab Emirates | 75c | 197.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…5573backed United Arab Emirates | 40c | 190.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked United Arab Emirates | 64c | 159.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Nepal | 31c | 118.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked United Arab Emirates | 67c | 117.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed United Arab Emirates | 36c | 117.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed United Arab Emirates | 40c | 112.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked United Arab Emirates | 59c | 94.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked United Arab Emirates | 78c | 83.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nepal | 60c | 72.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed United Arab Emirates | 37c | 72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Nepal | 47c | 62.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nepal | 30c | 58.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed United Arab Emirates | 51c | 51.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…b3eebacked Nepal | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nepal | 29c | 45.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…ce9bbacked Nepal | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked United Arab Emirates | 67c | 41.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nepal | 59c | 38.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Nepal | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Nepal | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…a029backed Nepal | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed United Arab Emirates | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed United Arab Emirates | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nepal | 47c | 29.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Nepal | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked United Arab Emirates | 70c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cde…dab0backed Nepal | 65c | 26.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…60e4backed Nepal | 60c | 24.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…a82cbacked Nepal | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…24f6backed United Arab Emirates | 80c | 16.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.