Premier League · resolved market
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42dbe53cf89aa9334e55a333b30b9d7c92865538dd744d14fe21fcdc35afa433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 7,454$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 20c | 4,875$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 20c | 3,749$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.8 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Under | 71c | 3,485$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.59 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Under | 72c | 3,207$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.09 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 2,430$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 2,007$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 71c | 1,996$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 1,663$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Over | 21c | 1,326$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Under | 73c | 1,200$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 78c | 1,023$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.92 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 27c | 998.94$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 29c | 762.5$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.04 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 23c | 700$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 68c | 483.66$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 78c | 454.1$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 425.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 392.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 356.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Under | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 79c | 215.18$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 25c | 188.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 11c | 158.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 19c | 158.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 37c | 156.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Under | 69c | 144.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 18c | 114.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 20c | 110.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 78c | 103.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 50c | 92.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 87.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 27c | 84.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 80c | 73.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 80c | 51.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…1bd7backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 47.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 28c | 38.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…688ebacked Under | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 78c | 34.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Under | 62c | 32.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 72c | 31.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Under | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…a82cbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…6566backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 77c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e1…e774backed Under | 79c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…5dbcbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.