TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under56c87,721$48,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,983.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c521backed Over39c27,918$10,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,804.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over35c14,290$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.468153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over49c9,823$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7971947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c9,325$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.196,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over44c7,384$3,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.116139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under48c6,522$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.833348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under61c5,840$3,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.7413348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over38c5,837$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.9613630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over38c5,265$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.74548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over40c4,600$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under46c4,119$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over44c4,111$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.7313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over44c3,200$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4167959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40814652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under60c3,113$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.373871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,17040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9945936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.994860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under62c2,970$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.689061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over47c2,966$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over36c2,761$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c2,501$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.534,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Over37c2,411$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.21650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,298$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.461,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c2,196$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over45c2,120$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.9222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c2,110$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80488635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over44c2,069$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.6735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over44c1,697$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.4315255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over40c1,605$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.0324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over37c1,580$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5863132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over39c1,538$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over44c1,477$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under56c1,400$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.678953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over45c1,300$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.516858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c1,203$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.266451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under41c1,146$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.079660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under62c1,144$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.7435652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over48c1,143$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.854153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over49c1,089$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over22c1,085$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5572142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over38c1,065$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under50c1,040$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.718442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed Over48c1,038$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under59c1,032$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.325552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under46c951.31$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.5211727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over50c941.67$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under59c912$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.929254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under59c864.32$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.379352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Over46c819.57$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3775754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over30c800$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24313721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c795$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.0221056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over44c788.1$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4833551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c743.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1855751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c740.01$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30817959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33613554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under52c672$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.562466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over38c633.66$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.792528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over40c620$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2488236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c619.88$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.7169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c615.82$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over39c612.82$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26418156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26417062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under46c592.5$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over45c586.77$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.291,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.921,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under63c555.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.563956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over41c550.85$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under66c501.98$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7929250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1905056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over38c485.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18510847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over42c480$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.251847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.212757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.213855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over44c480$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.410558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over58c477.5$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7714055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over44c468.45$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.938643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c450.01$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4180953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over44c443.65$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.27166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2adc…0afabacked Under69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.782864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over44c422$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.681,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17614355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over44c393$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.927361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over12c387.28$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.828122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.