TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chelsea FCof Liverpool FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x230a…9857backed Liverpool FC29c20,715$6,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,007.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC72c11,380$8,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x129f…7b9ebacked Liverpool FC28c10,882$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Liverpool FC30c5,952$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.191435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Chelsea FC72c3,336$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.2835941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe946…4cc4backed Liverpool FC28c3,139$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Chelsea FC75c3,067$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.675954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Liverpool FC43c3,044$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Liverpool FC28c2,474$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.836229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chelsea FC72c2,257$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.1241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chelsea FC71c2,049$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.182,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Chelsea FC61c1,870$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Chelsea FC72c1,727$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.614656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Liverpool FC29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed Liverpool FC29c1,685$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.721540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Liverpool FC12c1,631$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Chelsea FC71c1,536$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Chelsea FC72c1,217$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chelsea FC71c1,146$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.4559847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Liverpool FC27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Liverpool FC27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Chelsea FC70c1,064$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.989254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Liverpool FC29c1,036$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Liverpool FC28c1,035$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Liverpool FC10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Liverpool FC30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.996743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd2…1b21backed Liverpool FC27c959$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Liverpool FC27c907.41$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liverpool FC17c900$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15313921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chelsea FC71c814.03$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.4856051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Liverpool FC27c749.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20142048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC8c714.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.974,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Liverpool FC29c679.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked Liverpool FC31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Chelsea FC69c605.71$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.773661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Liverpool FC30c585.32$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5960445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Liverpool FC28c569.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.573215.6%5 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa53f…8c53backed Liverpool FC27c548.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Liverpool FC11c525$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6072442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Liverpool FC14c388$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.328122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6440…85e2backed Liverpool FC29c378.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a64…efd5backed Liverpool FC41c291.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6950%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed Chelsea FC72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Chelsea FC74c277.16$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Liverpool FC24c276.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.415332.1%17 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Chelsea FC72c276.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2622049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Chelsea FC72c232.9$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.279154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked Chelsea FC71c216.86$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+85.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Liverpool FC5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Liverpool FC27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.34445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4287…666ebacked Liverpool FC41c187.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Liverpool FC27c185.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.14353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liverpool FC27c184.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8659332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Liverpool FC29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Liverpool FC29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Chelsea FC71c170.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.061553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Chelsea FC69c159.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5126444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Liverpool FC31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Chelsea FC72c142.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.422146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Liverpool FC24c139.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9917017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Chelsea FC64c136$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.798442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Chelsea FC74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1428859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Liverpool FC27c130.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7822645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Liverpool FC31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Liverpool FC11c125$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3327948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Liverpool FC31c122.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Liverpool FC28c121.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6721250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Liverpool FC32c119.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.894228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC24c111.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7551516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Liverpool FC27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Liverpool FC28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Liverpool FC29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013635.3%48 W · 88 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Liverpool FC28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Liverpool FC26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262825%7 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Liverpool FC27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.252548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Liverpool FC28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chelsea FC69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Liverpool FC25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Liverpool FC27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Liverpool FC24c92.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.240942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Liverpool FC28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chelsea FC72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2510765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Liverpool FC38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Liverpool FC29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Liverpool FC29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Liverpool FC24c66.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Liverpool FC26c65.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8236545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Chelsea FC70c64.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Chelsea FC71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3420259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Liverpool FC28c54.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2111858.5%69 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Chelsea FC73c54.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.515046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eaa…799abacked Chelsea FC77c50.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liverpool FC37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Liverpool FC41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203727%10 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Liverpool FC42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Liverpool FC33c42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.988648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Chelsea FC74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5413550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Liverpool FC27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.815949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…13febacked Chelsea FC73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Chelsea FC71c33.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.744965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.