TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,710 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x363c…4463backed Yes15c5,399$814 inLost-$814.2427431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a81…7debbacked Yes26c1,899$500 inLost-$50014564.1%93 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1a…348dbacked Yes12c1,606$200 inLost-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Yes10c1,439$143 inLost-$142.928344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes11c1,362$147 inLost-$147.369941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked No73c793.61$577 inWon+$216.4412033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes8c707.27$59 inLost-$59.4417746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Yes16c670.02$110 inLost-$109.8946562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8536…6028backed Yes17c630.23$110 inLost-$11030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c440$18 inLost-$17.619411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957b…716dbacked Yes8c327.14$25 inLost-$25119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-85.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7988…a57ebacked Yes15c325$49 inLost-$48.753429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Yes13c298.35$40 inLost-$409755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No78c252.67$198 inWon+$54.54966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9b…11f7backed Yes12c200$24 inLost-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d0…2a3abacked Yes7c160$12 inLost-$1216437.8%62 W · 102 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Yes17c144.01$24 inLost-$24.3912025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…8f1fbacked Yes10c141.14$14 inLost-$14.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f88…aa7abacked Yes9c117.56$11 inLost-$10.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6039…03a0backed Yes12c110.43$13 inLost-$13.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc932…e6a5backed Yes19c105$20 inLost-$202544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea0…ae77backed Yes15c100$15 inLost-$151656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe66…d00cbacked Yes17c88.24$15 inLost-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No78c50$39 inWon+$11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No78c44.21$34 inWon+$9.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.