Stocks · resolved market
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd9043bc02962c516c9809608e0375aae1328e7b6bab744ebb376d46ee1ff26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $391,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cd5…b4bbbacked Yes | 67c | 25,871$17,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…3883backed No | 0c | 24,483$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…8cc8backed No | 15c | 22,000$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 79c | 19,058$14,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 19c | 17,710$3,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 17c | 17,608$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…6d1bbacked No | 32c | 15,490$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 17c | 13,945$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 20c | 12,588$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa722…4dbfbacked No | 31c | 12,307$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…7f32backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…0510backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…3b61backed No | 13c | 8,862$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 79c | 7,333$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…a19fbacked No | 23c | 5,859$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…bbfabacked No | 20c | 5,736$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f93…355bbacked No | 18c | 5,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb292…dcb7backed No | 23c | 4,240$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6245backed No | 20c | 3,644$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 80c | 3,641$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a36dbacked No | 19c | 3,493$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…9a0bbacked No | 15c | 3,362$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…0db1backed No | 19c | 3,150$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 22c | 2,700$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228f…c7f7backed No | 26c | 2,634$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…304fbacked No | 15c | 2,567$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 14c | 2,500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 12c | 2,412$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…3ed4backed No | 23c | 2,307$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed No | 23c | 2,232$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 23c | 2,189$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 19c | 2,075$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked No | 17c | 2,018$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…2ef1backed Yes | 76c | 2,001$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed No | 20c | 2,000$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 79c | 1,962$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 10c | 1,900$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…b5ddbacked Yes | 75c | 1,860$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…c237backed No | 20c | 1,796$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d5…8d1abacked Yes | 79c | 1,783$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…2b1fbacked No | 21c | 1,712$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 1,628$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…ecc6backed No | 17c | 1,615$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…16a0backed No | 23c | 1,614$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 20c | 1,565$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…3573backed No | 22c | 1,500$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 21c | 1,362$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 19c | 1,324$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 21c | 1,317$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…04ffbacked No | 7c | 1,305$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed Yes | 78c | 1,300$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…a464backed No | 23c | 1,281$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…c645backed Yes | 79c | 1,280$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked No | 16c | 1,216$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda94…27e8backed No | 20c | 1,140$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed No | 26c | 1,139$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…5969backed No | 18c | 1,120$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…0b3ebacked No | 22c | 1,116$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…a0c8backed No | 19c | 1,110$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb18…1299backed No | 23c | 1,088$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…02a3backed No | 19c | 1,062$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked No | 21c | 1,050$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked No | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cd72backed No | 20c | 1,018$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 24c | 1,000$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…25d0backed No | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 13c | 999.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…ff17backed No | 21c | 992.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 7c | 980.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…009ebacked No | 19c | 963.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 20c | 937.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7046…80febacked No | 21c | 922.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 17c | 900$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Yes | 79c | 894.2$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9e8ebacked No | 16c | 882.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…c5b8backed No | 12c | 867.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…9faebacked No | 23c | 864.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 18c | 834.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…516abacked No | 24c | 829.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked No | 21c | 749.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 72c | 742.15$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…e693backed No | 21c | 714.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ec…3344backed No | 29c | 700.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 8c | 700.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed No | 15c | 681.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 677.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 17c | 613.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 21c | 606.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0b…2341backed No | 16c | 591.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 77c | 587.4$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…647dbacked Yes | 79c | 565.88$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…c622backed No | 18c | 556.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked No | 9c | 546.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 79c | 545.77$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed Yes | 79c | 521.67$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 19c | 518.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…1ee2backed No | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.