La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe943d0b1e7772d6c9ac90c48d11640a0ab8d1dfc7226b4cb8429d1d274fa6987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,322,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,340,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,322,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 55c | 394,895$217,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177,700.55 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 44c | 195,800$86,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,151.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 43c | 163,529$70,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,317.48 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 56c | 129,419$73,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,360.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 44c | 115,006$50,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,602.76 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…ed71backed Yes | 56c | 84,703$47,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,269.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 53,700$23,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,272.96 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 47,191$20,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,745.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 57c | 42,728$24,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,373.07 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 37,509$17,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,361.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 36,553$15,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,837.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 32,155$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,768.22 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 43c | 30,313$13,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,176.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 43c | 30,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 44c | 15,476$6,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,873.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 36c | 14,432$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,233.37 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 44c | 12,600$5,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 44c | 12,000$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 44c | 11,973$5,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 57c | 11,899$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.52 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 45c | 11,548$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.74 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked Yes | 55c | 11,537$6,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed No | 45c | 11,078$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…931abacked Yes | 55c | 11,012$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 10,631$4,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.66 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad82…3df1backed No | 1c | 10,451$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.9 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 33c | 9,967$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627e…f59fbacked No | 44c | 8,206$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 45c | 7,499$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 6,191$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 55c | 6,014$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.01 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 49c | 5,994$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.99 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 44c | 5,809$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 37c | 5,449$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 57c | 4,889$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 44c | 4,800$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.94 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 44c | 4,754$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.76 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 44c | 4,590$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.78 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 4,025$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.41 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.86 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed No | 44c | 3,779$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 44c | 3,698$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Yes | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…ab35backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 56c | 2,957$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 57c | 2,923$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.72 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 44c | 2,797$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 2,569$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.93 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 52c | 2,486$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 56c | 2,434$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Yes | 56c | 2,262$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 2,219$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.26 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed No | 2c | 2,210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 45c | 2,200$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.13 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 50c | 2,082$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.97 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 45c | 2,031$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.82 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 1,916$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.21 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 1,909$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.53 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 68c | 1,854$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.4 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 1,787$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.51 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 44c | 1,780$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 44c | 1,700$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.25 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed No | 45c | 1,662$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 48c | 1,642$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.23 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 62c | 1,590$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 55c | 1,587$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.26 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 1,459$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.68 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04a…c050backed Yes | 56c | 1,443$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,376$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.61 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 45c | 1,302$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.01 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 48c | 1,297$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.05 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 45c | 1,229$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes | 68c | 1,084$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed No | 44c | 1,082$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.24 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,042$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 45c | 1,038$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 45c | 1,036$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.09 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.