TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes26c18,178$4,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,778.875726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c10,594$7,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c6,779$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.531,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes26c3,859$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.382326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes26c3,370$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.2940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes26c3,278$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed No53c2,506$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes27c2,271$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.921241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No74c2,218$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.693053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c2,100$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.7863553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c1,910$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.0883444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c1,622$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.712,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,483$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes6c1,208$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c934.31$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.267667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No68c911.46$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.85172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No76c894.05$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.413164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c815.62$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2292254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed No75c744.66$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.162250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dba…dc6dbacked Yes26c735.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c699.97$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes26c621.86$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.414440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No60c554.45$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.683476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c551.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3415446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No56c479.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.223255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c476.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes26c469.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No75c454.74$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.681361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes32c450.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No75c440.14$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0324145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes27c412.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.941947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No73c406.13$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.945671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No75c382.18$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.543658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes33c356.02$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.931,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes25c352$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c328.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4320252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes8c283.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.683135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No74c271.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5222658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No74c252$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5223947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes26c242.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No75c236.4$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.115459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c221.22$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No79c208.34$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.759557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes21c206$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2645841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes49c199.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.913154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes25c198.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes29c198.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.443522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9480…6797backed Yes27c197.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c9f…3973backed Yes27c196.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes26c191.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…a571backed Yes26c191.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Yes25c191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes26c183.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.781421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Yes26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c170.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3375451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes35c168.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1222758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No75c159.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4719260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No75c159.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…8be5backed Yes8c153.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No75c148.2$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3510561.9%65 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd194…f651backed Yes45c147.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…af0fbacked Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes28c142.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.458246.3%38 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0da9…bb10backed No75c137.87$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a4…4ae6backed Yes28c137.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.271533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c134.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6583939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No74c132.76$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3117856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No74c132.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1816456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Yes26c128.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.452040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes27c127.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.386839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-67.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No75c123.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No74c122.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No74c122.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8710464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No74c122.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.872259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No74c122.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No74c122.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.875662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes30c111.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5390%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes25c110.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes15c110.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad6…c385backed Yes27c106.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a39…1a00backed Yes10c104.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No75c103.91$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.97150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed No75c103.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.353050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c99.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4610…0eb3backed Yes25c97.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd58…c1c4backed No74c96.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No50c95.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.869058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes26c95.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8516446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No78c88.81$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5426930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.