Fed Rates · resolved market
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df2f2ca434b5bacaef33d6b24edf42845199f4f794e66580de2d2c880a25275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,568,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,237,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,568,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 35c | 141,181$48,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,269.15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 10c | 76,311$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,991.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 12c | 66,449$8,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,182.38 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 17c | 56,571$9,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,139.62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 22c | 47,624$10,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,315.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed Yes | 53c | 45,485$23,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,570.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…9b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 40,000$9,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,607.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed Yes | 58c | 39,440$22,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,471.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…295ebacked Yes | 67c | 38,416$25,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,625.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 20c | 34,146$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,462.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…9766backed Yes | 19c | 34,000$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,540 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 14c | 33,954$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,257.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 31,915$20,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,340.85 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 45c | 31,531$14,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,254.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 51c | 27,698$14,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,641.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 12c | 27,588$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,194.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 67c | 27,581$18,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed Yes | 15c | 26,850$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,752.54 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 26c | 24,847$6,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,401.53 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 56c | 20,894$11,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,287.37 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 20c | 20,837$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,685.71 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ac84backed Yes | 35c | 20,382$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,248.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 12c | 17,421$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,394.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 75c | 17,200$12,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 29c | 16,980$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,080.79 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes | 51c | 15,794$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,674.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…aeb5backed Yes | 21c | 15,713$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 70c | 14,714$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 67c | 14,535$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,735.51 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…bae7backed Yes | 68c | 14,352$9,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 15c | 14,214$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,127.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 57c | 13,554$7,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 15c | 13,432$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,446.59 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…8a19backed Yes | 44c | 13,323$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…4b34backed Yes | 26c | 13,149$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,723.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 20c | 13,049$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.9 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed Yes | 67c | 12,000$8,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1a…354fbacked Yes | 15c | 11,961$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,121.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 80c | 11,845$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,439.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 42c | 11,774$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,881.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 36c | 11,467$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,318.21 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7c…9e23backed No | 33c | 11,400$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 61c | 10,780$6,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked Yes | 70c | 10,519$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 21c | 10,311$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 14c | 10,300$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,855.08 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 69c | 10,215$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…98d6backed Yes | 13c | 9,592$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,321.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 16c | 9,165$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.29 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 74c | 9,000$6,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 18c | 9,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,379.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 8,850$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.92 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 30c | 8,678$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,106.1 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…f8e9backed Yes | 16c | 8,564$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,177.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +517.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…af2dbacked Yes | 17c | 8,091$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 66c | 8,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b0…ce37backed Yes | 17c | 7,947$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +486.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 22c | 7,600$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 49c | 7,421$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked Yes | 71c | 7,388$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed Yes | 20c | 7,035$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 49c | 6,841$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.8 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…2815backed Yes | 14c | 6,757$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 79c | 6,719$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd484…8280backed Yes | 35c | 6,568$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 23c | 6,550$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 32c | 6,523$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.57 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 47c | 6,402$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 18c | 6,200$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 14c | 6,199$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 21c | 6,116$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed Yes | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 20c | 5,953$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…d582backed Yes | 17c | 5,628$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 39c | 5,604$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…1f4fbacked Yes | 20c | 5,535$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…1bd4backed Yes | 18c | 5,526$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…a63bbacked Yes | 12c | 5,274$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.79 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…e4dfbacked Yes | 40c | 5,240$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,135.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 50c | 5,036$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 21c | 5,001$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ae…aa64backed Yes | 50c | 4,975$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 69c | 4,797$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 46c | 4,771$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…91f9backed No | 35c | 4,767$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…0e6dbacked Yes | 75c | 4,734$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda43…b0cbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,722$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,823.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 11c | 4,700$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…aad8backed Yes | 51c | 4,691$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed No | 27c | 4,545$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 51c | 4,543$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…9033backed Yes | 18c | 4,431$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,629.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 52c | 4,385$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…def7backed Yes | 48c | 4,367$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 41c | 4,350$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 29c | 4,302$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.18 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 50c | 4,293$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Yes | 64c | 4,209$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?this page
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No won
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.