Fed Rates · resolved market
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b6268efb832fe64bb746b9f50a51245b761d6b170e172b3cd81a7c4f39432b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,970,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,626,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,970,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes | 1c | 361,238$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.67 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 87,551$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.02 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7eebbacked Yes | 0c | 81,832$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…0c00backed Yes | 6c | 79,246$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…61c5backed Yes | 5c | 64,978$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 60,590$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,362$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 82 | 0%0 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…a63bbacked Yes | 9c | 56,597$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.17 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…8d2abacked Yes | 0c | 49,382$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…55e0backed Yes | 0c | 49,382$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…61cabacked Yes | 8c | 47,752$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Yes | 0c | 34,333$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…3071backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f2…f04ebacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…186fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…c678backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…73d7backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…3cbdbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…06c5backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…7756backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1641backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…0c23backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…9a44backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…58d7backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…3d49backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…c0d9backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…5e0fbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…a0ebbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…c49cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78dc…f1fabacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fea…0e32backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…80e7backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…e13abacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f6…363abacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d0…4f16backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…2586backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…74f3backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…c62cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…19c3backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c82…7813backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…3f43backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…33dfbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…994abacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…652dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…12d3backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…4f75backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2c80backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…b7ebbacked Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…b9d4backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8f…f984backed Yes | 0c | 31,356$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 3c | 27,717$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…a636backed Yes | 0c | 25,788$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…ce53backed Yes | 0c | 24,880$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…8206backed Yes | 0c | 23,263$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…3de7backed Yes | 0c | 21,580$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…b63abacked Yes | 6c | 21,540$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eff…b284backed Yes | 0c | 21,338$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…4dc0backed Yes | 0c | 19,289$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…9f13backed Yes | 5c | 18,955$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…7ce4backed Yes | 8c | 18,727$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 2c | 18,059$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.96 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 9c | 16,301$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.55 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…8db9backed Yes | 0c | 14,395$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…a984backed Yes | 0c | 13,247$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…aa61backed Yes | 3c | 12,570$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…051abacked Yes | 0c | 12,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…689cbacked Yes | 8c | 12,072$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 11,500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 13c | 11,228$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…4421backed Yes | 0c | 10,086$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…e04dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 2c | 9,074$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 9,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…57adbacked Yes | 9c | 8,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…bae4backed Yes | 6c | 8,416$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…5b3dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 7,927$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.25 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 7,590$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -94.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…a699backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 7,120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…4e7dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,800$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,303$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed Yes | 3c | 5,259$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…c3c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…bdd1backed Yes | 0c | 5,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,027$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…8371backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…e41fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…a77ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 4,685$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…54ebbacked Yes | 0c | 4,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 2c | 4,081$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…73d2backed Yes | 7c | 3,900$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 2c | 3,830$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…1a39backed Yes | 0c | 3,780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,700$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?this page
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No won
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes won
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.