Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1a08d32fa84e47b4e7449cbaf8c8105fdfe0b0f00937131b34afd47517322c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Santa Claraof Sporting CP, CD Santa Clara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Santa Clara | 66c | 1,451$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Sporting CP | 28c | 714.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Sporting CP | 29c | 660.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed CD Santa Clara | 74c | 599.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CD Santa Clara | 71c | 322.41$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Sporting CP | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CD Santa Clara | 78c | 257.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Sporting CP | 16c | 247.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sporting CP | 18c | 208.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Sporting CP | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Santa Clara | 71c | 157.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Sporting CP | 29c | 139.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Sporting CP | 29c | 139.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked CD Santa Clara | 71c | 112.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Sporting CP | 29c | 108.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Sporting CP | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed CD Santa Clara | 71c | 107.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Sporting CP | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x895c…d405backed CD Santa Clara | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…0504backed CD Santa Clara | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Sporting CP | 26c | 74.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CD Santa Clara | 71c | 70.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed CD Santa Clara | 74c | 62.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sporting CP | 25c | 57.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed CD Santa Clara | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Sporting CP | 64c | 47.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Sporting CP | 25c | 43.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…3660backed Sporting CP | 26c | 39.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…065dbacked Sporting CP | 29c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CD Santa Clara | 36c | 30.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CD Santa Clara | 69c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed CD Santa Clara | 74c | 25.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Sporting CP | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked CD Santa Clara | 73c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…bea7backed CD Santa Clara | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e4…ca6abacked CD Santa Clara | 74c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed CD Santa Clara | 73c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked CD Santa Clara | 76c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CD Santa Clara | 71c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked CD Santa Clara | 68c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed CD Santa Clara | 73c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed CD Santa Clara | 72c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked CD Santa Clara | 72c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed CD Santa Clara | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)this page
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-2.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.