NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Cleveland Monsters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf712df084e92006fddf5a059b64d7fe377294a693a0ca273f96f49d90c6f8e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Monstersof Milwaukee Admirals, Cleveland Monsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 3,102$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.63 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 799.5$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.72 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 476.89$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 476.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 379.82$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 282.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 49c | 196.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…f237backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 164.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 138.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 115.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 49c | 108.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 99.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 49c | 98.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 96.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 94.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 92.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 83.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 38c | 59.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Cleveland Monsters | 55c | 43.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Milwaukee Admirals | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…f6dfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 37.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…5f1fbacked Cleveland Monsters | 55c | 34.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 47c | 29.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 25.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.