CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5965561e34f4cf6da1518c75548c9898f90f9fd9c2812c0755ddfcc7fdff5d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof BESTIA Academy, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ALKA | 46c | 2,097$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.41 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 51c | 1,979$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.9 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 1,096$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 49c | 997.9$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.72 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 811.89$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.38 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA Academy | 48c | 714.12$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA Academy | 46c | 623.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALKA | 46c | 480.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed BESTIA Academy | 52c | 435.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed BESTIA Academy | 21c | 434.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed BESTIA Academy | 56c | 343.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 289.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed BESTIA Academy | 56c | 208.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked BESTIA Academy | 51c | 192.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA Academy | 50c | 191.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ALKA | 54c | 187.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 185.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ALKA | 45c | 182.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 181.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 166.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed BESTIA Academy | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ALKA | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 147.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ALKA | 52c | 125.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ALKA | 50c | 118.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 107.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…3575backed BESTIA Academy | 55c | 106.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 103.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…bea7backed BESTIA Academy | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…f237backed BESTIA Academy | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ALKA | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 93.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 90.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed BESTIA Academy | 55c | 88.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed BESTIA Academy | 52c | 80.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed BESTIA Academy | 36c | 77.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 55c | 65.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed BESTIA Academy | 47c | 64.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed BESTIA Academy | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ALKA | 45c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed ALKA | 57c | 41.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked ALKA | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ALKA | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed ALKA | 49c | 29.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed ALKA | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ALKA | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed BESTIA Academy | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed ALKA | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed ALKA | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ALKA | 46c | 24.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked ALKA | 47c | 24.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked BESTIA Academy | 52c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed BESTIA Academy | 52c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 48c | 21.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BESTIA Academy | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.