TailMyPicks

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NHL · resolved market

AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Milwaukee Admirals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Milwaukee Admirals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights54c4,736$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.9823155%127 W · 104 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Admirals49c1,266$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.1286549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Henderson Silver Knights55c1,207$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.9951949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Admirals46c1,119$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.991,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c874.4$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Milwaukee Admirals45c643$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.358544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Henderson Silver Knights52c541.72$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.351,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Henderson Silver Knights55c408.09$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2711833.1%39 W · 79 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Milwaukee Admirals46c323.91$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1498749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Milwaukee Admirals46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Milwaukee Admirals48c236.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4529241.1%120 W · 172 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Milwaukee Admirals46c201.85$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.856645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Admirals46c201.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Henderson Silver Knights60c193.38$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.351,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa400…3b54backed Milwaukee Admirals45c179$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df8…f0edbacked Milwaukee Admirals45c178$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c173.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.925747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa91…4325backed Milwaukee Admirals46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe108…30c9backed Milwaukee Admirals45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24f…97c8backed Milwaukee Admirals44c162$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eff…d6b6backed Milwaukee Admirals44c155$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Milwaukee Admirals45c154.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4b3…cf22backed Milwaukee Admirals45c152$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50b3…38b4backed Milwaukee Admirals45c143$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b24…b925backed Milwaukee Admirals46c142$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db0…5e63backed Milwaukee Admirals45c130$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…7181backed Milwaukee Admirals45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc916…5403backed Milwaukee Admirals46c128.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6813954%75 W · 64 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Milwaukee Admirals50c122.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2214551%74 W · 71 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Henderson Silver Knights60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4619964.3%128 W · 71 L+21.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.449747.9%238 W · 259 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Milwaukee Admirals45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Milwaukee Admirals47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf167…da8abacked Henderson Silver Knights55c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f8…1bc1backed Henderson Silver Knights55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f32…dcf0backed Henderson Silver Knights55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1236…0927backed Henderson Silver Knights55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…8700backed Henderson Silver Knights50c66.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9955…1f4bbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa382…b076backed Henderson Silver Knights56c66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e94…3cc6backed Henderson Silver Knights55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe63…cb9ebacked Henderson Silver Knights55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31f7…cb47backed Henderson Silver Knights56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433b…8228backed Henderson Silver Knights55c61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Milwaukee Admirals46c60.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.793237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c7c…e228backed Henderson Silver Knights56c59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…e643backed Henderson Silver Knights55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc664…8ca9backed Henderson Silver Knights55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b00…c3bdbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Milwaukee Admirals50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b3…e305backed Henderson Silver Knights56c52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c4…550fbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868e…5656backed Henderson Silver Knights55c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Milwaukee Admirals45c47.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50de…570abacked Henderson Silver Knights55c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd79…f926backed Henderson Silver Knights56c47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1be…1a1abacked Henderson Silver Knights56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e4…a5b8backed Henderson Silver Knights55c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Milwaukee Admirals45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Milwaukee Admirals46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6036…916fbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb863…b1aabacked Henderson Silver Knights55c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…f96dbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae4…5523backed Henderson Silver Knights56c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a9…0d6cbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.414445.8%66 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b8…d8b5backed Henderson Silver Knights55c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3c…6329backed Henderson Silver Knights56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c36.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.924060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Henderson Silver Knights51c34.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+92.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1160…0b5cbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Henderson Silver Knights48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6447848.1%230 W · 248 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…7116backed Henderson Silver Knights55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.954100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf777…44c7backed Henderson Silver Knights55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529c…053ebacked Milwaukee Admirals51c29.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x646f…2071backed Henderson Silver Knights56c28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4f…eadebacked Henderson Silver Knights55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…6eadbacked Henderson Silver Knights55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x205d…9dd1backed Henderson Silver Knights55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Milwaukee Admirals46c23.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.836051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Milwaukee Admirals46c23.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823559.1%139 W · 96 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Milwaukee Admirals46c22.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.296341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc3…ba8ebacked Milwaukee Admirals46c21.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf53…7294backed Henderson Silver Knights56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Henderson Silver Knights74c18.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9921158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.