TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GLYPHof Team Nemesis, GLYPH
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9750…263dbacked GLYPH47c17,703$8,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,380.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Nemesis56c12,291$6,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,92928748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed GLYPH44c3,974$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.326746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis63c2,562$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.5853451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis51c2,419$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.452,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GLYPH58c2,265$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.141,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Nemesis50c1,844$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.7233041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed GLYPH37c1,837$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.8810735.5%38 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Nemesis58c1,689$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.6454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Nemesis30c1,682$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.5467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH58c1,536$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.7677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…30d5backed Team Nemesis56c1,375$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Team Nemesis58c1,248$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.6640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed GLYPH59c1,223$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.230356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Nemesis40c1,217$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…8cc6backed Team Nemesis48c1,111$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Team Nemesis53c1,042$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3717954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Nemesis58c959.67$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.614450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Team Nemesis56c908.37$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6925547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GLYPH41c906.85$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GLYPH53c868.25$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.911,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Nemesis55c773.55$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8830336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked GLYPH43c760.24$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.932552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed GLYPH38c759.64$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1311836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e7…2779backed Team Nemesis55c721.03$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed GLYPH50c678.34$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3971342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed GLYPH64c654.38$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4120452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed GLYPH36c649.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Nemesis46c638.11$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.464452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed GLYPH48c621.55$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4514251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed GLYPH42c615.03$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35612966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Nemesis37c610.4$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4638653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis16c560.28$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.761,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed GLYPH39c542.95$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.519156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis50c538.35$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1855147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked GLYPH36c527.62$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0936547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Team Nemesis32c527.45$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.392955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked GLYPH44c520.33$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Team Nemesis33c518.05$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Team Nemesis57c505.29$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Nemesis66c500$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33125150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Nemesis37c453.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.261,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Nemesis50c451.75$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8762650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Team Nemesis63c444.85$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed GLYPH45c433.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.054647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis57c419.06$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7856243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed GLYPH44c403.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.719644.8%43 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed GLYPH49c398.4$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.567268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc98…5308backed Team Nemesis55c396.01$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Team Nemesis68c383.94$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.885166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Nemesis67c383.6$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4286659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Nemesis52c377.11$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.523555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed GLYPH47c376.73$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.5397142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed GLYPH40c376.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.157955.7%44 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Team Nemesis22c374.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Team Nemesis56c374.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.518155.6%45 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked GLYPH54c370.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2812654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f46…2a17backed GLYPH40c346.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Team Nemesis56c343.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Nemesis58c343.03$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.963050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Nemesis39c311.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9548352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9221…8b6dbacked Team Nemesis55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis50c295.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9361548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Nemesis60c292.17$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6851550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed GLYPH38c291.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked GLYPH74c259.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.476753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed GLYPH42c258.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+165.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked Team Nemesis62c252.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.832934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Team Nemesis58c241.08$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.834341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked GLYPH41c239.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.573351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Nemesis40c238.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Team Nemesis52c234.38$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH31c231.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0270052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH47c228.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.151,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed GLYPH43c225.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.374757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked GLYPH48c222.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2441244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Team Nemesis60c219.55$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Nemesis59c214.52$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0561057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7489…7c83backed Team Nemesis56c206.76$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Team Nemesis52c203.66$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Team Nemesis60c202.24$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-64.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked GLYPH72c200.74$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.094654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked GLYPH38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12421045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed GLYPH40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12024251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3964…66b2backed Team Nemesis71c197.21$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked GLYPH37c193.2$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.024247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56d2…8a17backed Team Nemesis7c192.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1995…84c6backed Team Nemesis62c188.53$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.281421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f11…5d87backed Team Nemesis50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Team Nemesis57c173.51$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis45c172.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.821,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c0…5baabacked Team Nemesis55c166.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed GLYPH59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.783764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Team Nemesis61c164$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.044850%24 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed GLYPH39c158$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1365337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed GLYPH44c157.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8826050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Team Nemesis63c153.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0114154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…999bbacked GLYPH31c152.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.841258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d41…f237backed Team Nemesis58c150.41$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed GLYPH37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.520838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.