Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ddb789f2131aac2a8f88bc40ccf58a0d8f3555626fc12db05f1096258393e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, GLYPH
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 4,372$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.88 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 44c | 1,612$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.01 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 1,506$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.87 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked GLYPH | 38c | 1,048$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed GLYPH | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GLYPH | 42c | 778.23$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.21 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GLYPH | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GLYPH | 43c | 537.72$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed GLYPH | 41c | 531.18$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 39c | 398.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 395.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GLYPH | 29c | 377.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 354.88$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed GLYPH | 14c | 323.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 294.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed GLYPH | 38c | 280.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed GLYPH | 37c | 234.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 145.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 139.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GLYPH | 33c | 113.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed GLYPH | 45c | 108.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed GLYPH | 47c | 102.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.32per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GLYPH | 39c | 101.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GLYPH | 42c | 99.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed GLYPH | 41c | 93.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 82.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked GLYPH | 45c | 63.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed GLYPH | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed GLYPH | 40c | 51.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed GLYPH | 34c | 50.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed GLYPH | 45c | 46.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked GLYPH | 38c | 46.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 45.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed GLYPH | 32c | 44.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 39.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked GLYPH | 39c | 39.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked GLYPH | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed GLYPH | 43c | 30.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked GLYPH | 37c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLYPH | 40c | 25.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.